Charleston Southern Buccaneers at Clemson Tigers
Final · ACC Network
Model: CHSO 7.63–44.79 CLEM
How close was our sim?
Pre-game sim locked Oct 16, 5:51 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 1297166648
- Winner: Clemson (99%)
- Spread: CHSO +43.5 covers (68%)
- Total: Under 57.5 (51%)
- Score error (both teams)21
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
Advanced analytics
Matchup edge: CHSO vs CLEM
The model
How this number was built
CHSO 7.63–44.79 CLEM · Medium confidence
overline-model-v2: opponent-adjusted ratings + matchup features. Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.
- Opponent-adjusted ratings (model v2)Opponent-adjusted (SOS) +2.2 vs -3.8 · model CLEM 30.1–17.4 CHSO
- Home field+3.0 pts to CLEM
- RecordCLEM 4-2 · CHSO 3-4
- Market priorBlended 82% toward CLEM -42.5 / total 53.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHSO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| CLEM | 10 | 24 | 0 | 3 | 37 |
How the points were scored
- FGQ1 12:510–3
Nolan Hauser 41 Yd Field Goal
- TDQ1 5:170–10
Chris Johnson Jr. 6 Yd Run (Nolan Hauser Kick)
- TDQ2 13:300–17
Gideon Davidson 7 Yd Run (Nolan Hauser Kick)
- TDQ2 5:300–24
Chris Johnson Jr. 2 Yd Run (Nolan Hauser Kick)
- TDQ2 5:210–31
Kylon Griffin 17 Yd Fumble Return (Nolan Hauser Kick)
- FGQ2 0:470–34
Nolan Hauser 59 Yd Field Goal
- FGQ4 14:430–37
Nolan Hauser 44 Yd Field Goal
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
Passing
| CHSO | C/ATT | YDS | AVG | TD | INT | QBR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jared Echols #7 | 7/12 | 50 | 4.2 | 0 | 0 | -- |
 Caden Clay #11 | 0/1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -- |
| Team | 7/13 | 50 | 3.8 | 0 | 0 | -- |
Rushing
| CHSO | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hakeem Watters #0 | 13 | 46 | 3.5 | 0 | 18 |
 Dwayne Wright #17 | 6 | 12 | 2.0 | 0 | 9 |
 Harry Smalls #26 | 4 | 6 | 1.5 | 0 | 4 |
 Maxwell Warren #83 | 1 | -1 | -1.0 | 0 | 0 |
Jared Echols #7 | 4 | -3 | -0.8 | 0 | 3 |
Team | 1 | -13 | -13.0 | 0 | 0 |
Caden Clay #11 | 3 | -21 | -7.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | 32 | 26 | 0.8 | 0 | 18 |
Receiving
| CHSO | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Maxwell Warren #83 | 5 | 38 | 7.6 | 0 | 13 |
 Mekhi Campfield #3 | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | 0 | 9 |
 TJ Smith #10 | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | 3 |
| Team | 7 | 50 | 7.1 | 0 | 13 |
Fumbles
| CHSO | FUM | LOST | REC |
|---|---|---|---|
 Quay Kindell #8 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Team | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Defense
| CHSO | TOT | SOLO | SACKS | TFL | PD | QB HUR | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Taivon Snipe #7 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Avery Dixon #6 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Steve Zayachkowsky #5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Champ Brantley #1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Mylan Bowen #10 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 Josiah Wyatt #0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
 Angel Miles #24 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Jayden Hancock #4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Jamie Williamson #57 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Jalen Brassell #39 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Kiemond Emilien #11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Tristan Lennon #25 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
A Austin Brown #36 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Kason Hooks #12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Shaun Hamilton #94 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
 Shannon Adkins #51 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Brandon McDonald #33 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 Chandler Perry #13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
J Joshua Modupe #18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 CJ Landrum #8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Devontae Roberts #31 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Collin Bray #40 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Josias Addison #52 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Will Laing #98 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Anthony Carter #9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 Charles Atkins #95 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Damarcus O'Neal #32 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
 Jaiden Coleman #30 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 GeTerius Brown #99 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | 94 | 50 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
Interceptions
| CHSO | INT | YDS | TD |
|---|---|---|---|
Mylan Bowen #10 | 1 | 45 | 0 |
Kason Hooks #12 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | 2 | 45 | 0 |
Kick returns
| CHSO | NO | YDS | AVG | LONG | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quay Kindell #8 | 3 | 79 | 26.3 | 47 | 0 |
| Team | 3 | 79 | 26.3 | 47 | 0 |
Kicking
| CHSO | FG | PCT | LONG | XP | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Matt Rolader #47 | 0/1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0 |
| Team | 0/1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0 |
Punting
| CHSO | NO | YDS | AVG | TB | In 20 | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Baxter Pearce #37 | 7 | 296 | 42.3 | 0 | 0 | 48 |
| Team | 7 | 296 | 42.3 | 0 | 0 | 48 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| CHSO | CLEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Downs | 6 | 28 |
| 3rd down efficiency | 0-11 | 6-14 |
| 4th down efficiency | 0-2 | 2-4 |
| Total Yards | 76 | 438 |
| Passing | 50 | 207 |
| Comp/Att | 7/13 | 26/40 |
| Yards per pass | 3.8 | 5.2 |
| Rushing | 26 | 231 |
| Rushing Attempts | 32 | 46 |
| Yards per rush | 0.8 | 5.0 |
| Penalties | 8-55 | 8-70 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 2 |
| Fumbles lost | 1 | 0 |
| Interceptions thrown | 0 | 2 |
| Possession | 28:04 | 31:56 |
CHSO 7.63–44.79 CLEM
HitPlayer props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.