NCAAFQ3 3:44Husky Stadium (TX)
East Texas A&M Lions at Houston Christian Huskies
Q3 3:44 · ESPN+
LiveQ3 3:44Updates as plays come in
East Texas A&M Lions
2-4
24
Live
Q3 3:44
Houston Christian Huskies
3-3
16
ETAM 78%HCU 22%
Model: ETAM 31.39–24.36 HCU · live-adjusted
DraftKingsLiveas of 8:32 PM CT · tap to log
ML
Locked
Spread
Locked
Total
Locked
Model vs market
Our model
DraftKings
Spread
HCU -3.4
HCU -3.0
Total
54.5
48.5
Gap: +0.4 margin, +6.0 total. The projection shown above blends the model with this line.
Backtest 2023–2025 (FBS), 2,629 games, win-probability Brier (lower is better): model v2 0.1762 vs old model 0.1964. No free archive of college closing lines, so we can't benchmark against the market yet.
Advanced analytics
Matchup edge: ETAM vs HCU
Computer pick · Total
Over 47.5
54%
ETAM 31.39–24.36 HCU · 8.3 pts over 47.5
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