Overline Sports
PlayPORatLAUnder 3.5NBABKN119MIA1305:06NBACHA93BOS1140.0NBAPHX73SA912:34NBANO71DAL581:50NBACHI85MIL545:56NBADET86MIN724:18MLBMIL1LAD2Bot 6thNCAAFKENN14MOST14Q3 3:29NCAAFWKU10SHSU3HalftimeNHLMTL3WSH314:47NHLDAL0COL112:58MLSPHI1CHI150'MLSSEA0DAL053'MLSSKC0NSH353'MLSVAN0STL048'MLSMIN0COL012'MLSSJ0RSL012'NBADENatLAC10:30 PM EDTMLSATXatLAFC10:30 PM EDTMLSHOUatSD10:30 PM EDTWTAMARatMIA11:00 PM EDTWTADIAatKAR11:00 PM EDTATPSWatHS12:00 AM EDTWTAMAJatIVA12:00 AM EDTWTAGUOatELI12:30 AM EDTWTAHSatKS12:30 AM EDTWTASONatJAS1:30 AM EDTWTAEGatDS2:00 AM EDTATPALEatART2:30 AM EDTWTABMatQY3:00 AM EDTWTAJELatLEY3:30 AM EDTWTANOatSW3:30 AM EDTWTANURatAND4:00 AM EDTWTABTatHM4:30 AM EDTWTAKLatHM5:00 AM EDTWTALAUatLUC5:30 AM EDTATPALEatALE6:00 AM EDTWTAMARatTEO6:00 AM EDTWTABSatDM6:00 AM EDTWTAMATatDAL6:00 AM EDTWTARALatLEY6:00 AM EDTWTABMatGS6:30 AM EDTWTAIGAatASH7:00 AM EDTATPPZatMO7:30 AM EDTWTAJOEatTAM7:30 AM EDTWTAVIKatDOM7:30 AM EDTWTADWatPS7:30 AM EDTWTAFRAatFRA7:30 AM EDTWTABZatCL7:30 AM EDTWTAJANatANN8:30 AM EDTWTAZPatMZ9:00 AM EDTWTACLAatMAT9:00 AM EDTWTAMPatFS9:00 AM EDTWTAREBatANE9:30 AM EDTWTALEAatANO10:30 AM EDTWTAEZatJR10:30 AM EDTWTABIAatANT1:00 PM EDT
Board/NFL
NFLSun, 1:00 PM EDTGillette Stadium

New York Jets at New England Patriots

10/18 - 1:00 PM EDT · CBS

Computer pick · Spread
NYJ +7.5
55%

NYJ 17.77–25.41 NE

Grok Expert · G. Wilson Under 75.5 rec yds

-110
New York Jets
2-3 · W1 · computer pick
93 PF · 96 PA
17.77
Projected
New England Patriots
3-2 · W2
110 PF · 94 PA
25.41
NYJ 29%NE 71%

Projected NYJ 17.77–25.41 NE

DraftKingstap to log
ML
Spread
Total

The model

How this number was built

NYJ 17.77–25.41 NE · Medium confidence

Power index (FPI/BPI) plus shrunk attack/defense, blended with the posted market.

  • Power index
    NE +2.6 vs NYJ -4.5 · pred margin +7.6
  • Attack / defense
    NE -0.0 off · NYJ -1.9 off, shrunk 45%
  • Home field
    +2.4 pts to NE
  • Record
    NE 3-2 · NYJ 2-3
  • Market prior
    Blended 68% toward NE -7.5 / total 43.5
Full write-up of the model

Season leaders

  • Geno Smith
    Pass 102/147, 1084 YDS, 6 TD
  • Braelon Allen
    Rush 57 CAR, 236 YDS, 2 TD
  • Garrett Wilson
    Rec 31 REC, 374 YDS, 3 TD
  • Drake Maye
    Pass 99/151, 1228 YDS, 8 TD, 7 INT
  • Rhamondre Stevenson
    Rush 57 CAR, 227 YDS, 2 TD
  • Romeo Doubs
    Rec 13 REC, 219 YDS, 2 TD

Team stats

Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.

NYJNE
Points Per Game18.622.0
Total Yards310.8382.0
Yards Passing216.8254.8
Yards Rushing94.0127.2
Points Allowed Per Game19.218.8
Yards Allowed313.4313.4
Pass Yards Allowed195.4222.6
Rush Yards Allowed118.090.8

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

Grok ExpertComputer pick

G. Wilson Under 73.5 rec yds

-11063%

Receiving yards · DraftKings

  • R. Doubs anytime TD
    Anytime TD · NE
    -110
    62%
  • D. Maye anytime TD
    Anytime TD · NE
    -110
    62%
  • R. Stevenson anytime TD
    Anytime TD · NE
    -110
    62%
  • G. Wilson Under 6.5 rec
    Receptions · NYJ
    -110
    61%
  • R. Stevenson Over 2.5 rec
    Receptions · NE
    -110
    59%
  • R. Stevenson Over 19.5 rec yds
    Receiving yards · NE
    -110
    58%
  • D. Maye Over 27.5 rush yds
    Rushing yards · NE
    -110
    57%
  • NE anytime TD
    Anytime TD · NE
    -110
    56%
  • NYJ anytime TD
    Anytime TD · NYJ
    -110
    56%
  • R. Stevenson Under 71.5 rush yds
    Rushing yards · NE
    -110
    56%
  • D. Maye Under 268.5 pass+rush yds
    Pass + rush yards · NE
    -110
    56%