MLBTB2CLE1Bot 6thNCAAFFSU21MIA21Q4 9:33NCAAFARK28VAN21Q4 6:49NCAAFTCU17BAY6Q4 10:07NCAAFKENT2USF24Q4 7:06NCAAFNEV17NDSU31Q4 11:12NCAAFARST23USM13Q4 7:21NCAAFACU28UNA28Q4 3:34NCAAFMTST49EWU20Q4 8:30NCAAFPRST17NAU31Q4 4:16NCAAFCARK28TAR49Q4 4:09NCAAFRGV16UIW34Q4 11:56NCAAFMER31SAM14Q4 2:08NCAAFETAM24HCU29Q4 10:02NCAAFND10BYU21Q3 5:17NCAAFWIS7UCLA10End Q3NCAAFUK14OU13Q4 12:10NCAAFOKST17HOU21Q3 4:45NCAAFELON0STAN27Q3 0:58NCAAFLOU28SYR23Q3 3:36NCAAFNAVY20UTSA21HalftimeNCAAFLT7ULM0Q3 9:26NCAAFCP16UNCO21Q3 6:12NCAAFUCD17SUU9Q3 8:09NCAAFSJSU7UTEP0Q2 6:02NHLSTL2NSH317:57NHLBOS0LA1End of 1stMLSVAN1ATX163'MLSDAL1HOU161'MLSRSL3SKC162'UFCJAS0ERI00:39UFCJOAatMIK7:00 PM CTNCAAFOHIOatSAC9:00 PM CTNHLEDMatUTA9:00 PM CTNHLPITatVGK9:00 PM CTNCAAFUTAHatCOLO9:15 PM CTNCAAFWAKEatCAL9:30 PM CTNCAAFFRESatSDSU9:30 PM CTNCAAFUNMatHAW9:30 PM CTMLSSDatLA9:30 PM CTMLSCOLatPOR9:30 PM CTMLSNSHatSJ9:30 PM CTMLSMTLatSEA9:30 PM CTWTAKAYatMAY9:30 PM CTWTAEMEatTAY9:30 PM CTWTASAYatMAR9:30 PM CTNCAAFNEBatORE10:00 PM CTWTAPOLatANA10:00 PM CTWTAKATatDAR10:00 PM CTWTAAOIatHAR11:00 PM CTWTAMADatCLA11:00 PM CTWTASOFatSIN11:00 PM CTWTAYULatALY11:30 PM CTWTAALIatANH11:30 PM CTATPCTatMO1:00 AM CTATPREIatGAB1:00 AM CTATPNIKatADA1:00 AM CTWTAKAMatTAT1:00 AM CTWTAALIatSHI1:00 AM CTATPILIatROM2:30 AM CTWTAHSatDS3:00 AM CTWTALAUatARI3:00 AM CTATPRAFatALE3:30 AM CTATPSTEatALE5:00 AM CTWTALEYatCLA5:00 AM CTATPFEDatREM5:30 AM CTWTASONatMAJ5:30 AM CTATPGAUatCLE7:00 AM CTWTADOMatBIA7:00 AM CTATPAZIatNIS8:00 AM CTNFLHOUatJAX8:30 AM CTATPANDatMAR9:00 AM CTWTASSatHK9:00 AM CTNFLCHIatATL12:00 PM CTNFLBALatCLE12:00 PM CTNFLTENatIND12:00 PM CTNFLNYJatNE12:00 PM CTNFLNOatNYG12:00 PM CTNFLCARatPHI12:00 PM CTNFLPITatTB12:00 PM CT
NCAAFFinalReser Stadium

Washington State Cougars at Oregon State Beavers

Final · USA Net

Final
Washington State Cougars
1-6 · L4
141 PF · 190 PA
30
Final
Final
Oregon State Beavers
5-2 · W5
299 PF · 162 PA
48
WSU 14%ORST 86%

Model: WSU 17.31–34.88 ORST

How close was our sim?

Pre-game sim locked Oct 16, 5:51 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 1114541820

Winner called · off by 25
Most typical sim
WSU 17 – ORST 36
Final
WSU 30 – ORST 48
  • Winner: Oregon St (88%)
  • Spread: ORST -18.5 covers (50%)
  • Total: Over 52.5 (51%)
  • Score error (both teams)25

Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.

Advanced analytics

Matchup edge: WSU vs ORST

The model

How this number was built

WSU 17.31–34.88 ORST · Medium confidence

overline-model-v2: opponent-adjusted ratings + matchup features. Power index (FPI/BPI) plus shrunk attack/defense, blended with the posted market.

  • Power index
    ORST +5.9 vs WSU -9.0 · pred margin +17.6
  • Opponent-adjusted ratings (model v2)
    Opponent-adjusted (SOS) +5.0 vs +0.5 · model ORST 29.8–19.5 WSU
  • Home field
    +3.0 pts to ORST
  • Record
    ORST 5-2 · WSU 1-6
  • Market prior
    Blended 68% toward ORST -18.5 / total 52.5
Full write-up of the model

Line score

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
WSU01061430
ORST171071448

How the points were scored

  • TDQ1 7:130–7

    J. Reichle run for 1 yd, for a TD (C. Ojeda KICK)

  • TDQ1 4:460–14

    B. Atkinson pass to J. Legree for 90 yds, for a TD (C. Ojeda KICK)

  • FGQ1 1:230–17

    C. Ojeda 48 yd FG GOOD

  • FGQ2 11:123–17

    J. Stevens 19 yd FG GOOD

  • FGQ2 7:383–20

    C. Ojeda 46 yd FG GOOD

  • TDQ2 3:593–27

    B. Atkinson pass to AJ Newberry for 88 yds, for a TD (C. Ojeda KICK)

  • TDQ2 1:5310–27

    O. Eshelman pass to B. Ganashamoorthy for 40 yds, for a TD (J. Stevens KICK)

  • TDQ3 9:0110–34

    B. Atkinson pass to J. Legree for 5 yds, for a TD (C. Ojeda KICK)

  • TDQ3 4:1516–34

    J. Dugger run for 3 yds, for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

  • TDQ4 11:4016–41

    J. Reichle run for 1 yd, for a TD (C. Ojeda KICK)

  • TDQ4 9:0322–41

    O. Eshelman pass to D. Blood for 6 yds, for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

  • TDQ4 1:3730–41

    O. Eshelman run for 20 yds, for a TD (O. Eshelman pass to B. Ganashamoorthy GOOD for Two-Point Conversion)

  • TDQ4 1:1630–48

    C. Hatcher Jr. run for 16 yds, for a TD (C. Ojeda KICK)

Player stats

Full box — every player, every category.

Passing

WSUC/ATTYDSAVGTDINTadjQBR
Owen Eshelman
#17
32/492895.921—
Julian Dugger
#2
1/122.000—
Team33/502915.821—

Rushing

WSUCARYDSAVGTDLONG
Owen Eshelman
#17
151369.1141
Kirby Vorhees
#9
6162.707
Leo Pulalasi
#20
372.305
Julian Dugger
#2
263.013
Maxwell Woods
#3
430.802
Team301685.6241

Receiving

WSURECYDSAVGTDLONG
Branden Ganashamoorthy
#8
1114713.4140
Daniel Blood
#1
6599.8123
Jack Pedersen
#28
3258.3014
Trey Leckner
#23
3248.0010
Kirby Vorhees
#9
2147.009
Leo Pulalasi
#20
3144.706
Tank Hawkins Jr.
#10
581.604
Team332918.8240

Defense

WSUTOTSOLOSACKSTFLPDQB HURTD
Keith Brown
#21
15911010
Khamari Terrell
#13
7601100
Jeremiah Bernard
#1
6300000
Jaylen Thomas
#3
6200010
Linus Zunk
#6
6100.5010
Isaiah Hung
#16
6100.5000
Jirah Leaupepetele
#98
5100000
Gage Jones
#33
3200000
Jalil Tucker
#22
3100000
Damarjhe Lewis
#34
3000.5100
Jackquintin Bal
#25
3000000
Ben Beatty
#51
2100020
DJ Warner
#15
2000010
Matyus McLain
#9
2000.5010
Kayo Patu
#19
1100000
Branden Ganashamoorthy
#8
1100000
CJ Solis-Lumar
#0
1100000
Kaden Beatty
#52
1000000
Michael Hughes
#5
1000010
Jamarey Smith
#2
1000000
Jack Ellison
#42
1000000
Paul Hutson III
#99
0000010
Josh Wedel
#97
0000010
Team7529142100

Kick returns

WSUNOYDSAVGLONGTD
Jaylen Thomas
#3
12020.0200
Tank Hawkins Jr.
#10
199.090
Gavin Fugate
#59
100.000
Team3299.7200

Punt returns

WSUNOYDSAVGLONGTD
Jaylen Thomas
#3
188.080
Team188.080

Kicking

WSUFGPCTLONGXPPTS
Jack Stevens
#38
1/1100.0191/14
Team1/1100.0191/14

Punting

WSUNOYDSAVGTBIn 20LONG
Max Dean
#32
624941.50258
Team624941.50258

Team stats

Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.

WSUORST
1st Downs2524
3rd down efficiency7-175-13
4th down efficiency3-32-2
Total Yards459555
Passing291347
Comp/Att33/5023/38
Yards per pass5.89.1
Rushing168208
Rushing Attempts3033
Yards per rush5.66.3
Penalties6-706-58
Turnovers10
Fumbles lost00
Interceptions thrown10
Possession30:4029:20
Computer pick · Spread
WSU +18.5
51%

WSU 17.31–34.88 ORST

Hit

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.

Overline Sports

Projections blend power-index ratings with DraftKings lines. Every game carries a computer pick and a tagged DK prop; closed games are graded against those pre-game leans. Statistical estimates, not betting advice. Live scores, clocks, and team pages from ESPN.

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