NCAAFSat 10:00 PM CTAutzen Stadium
Nebraska Cornhuskers at Oregon Ducks
TV · Fox
Sat 10:00 PM CT
Computer pick · Spread
NEB +7.5
53%
NEB 23.21–29.61 ORE
Nebraska Cornhuskers
5-1 · computer pick
23.21
Projected
Oregon Ducks
3-2
29.61
NEB 35%ORE 65%
Projected NEB 23.21–29.61 ORE
DraftKingstap to log
ML
Spread
Total
Model vs market
Our model
DraftKings
Spread
ORE -6.2
ORE -6.5
Total
55.6
51.5
Gap: -0.3 margin, +4.1 total. The projection shown above blends the model with this line.
Backtest 2023–2025 (FBS), 2,629 games, win-probability Brier (lower is better): model v2 0.1762 vs old model 0.1964. No free archive of college closing lines, so we can't benchmark against the market yet.
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