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PlayPORatLAUnder 3.5NBANO98DAL9140.8NBACHI121MIL1001:52NBADET126MIN1041:23MLBMIL5LAD2Top 8thNCAAFKENN21MOST21Q4 6:00NCAAFWKU13SHSU3Q3 0:03NHLDAL1COL118:40MLSPHI3CHI190'+4'MLSSEA0DAL190'+7'MLSVAN0STL090'+2'MLSMIN0COL1HTMLSSJ0RSL0HTNBADENatLAC10:30 PM EDTMLSATXatLAFC10:30 PM EDTMLSHOUatSD10:30 PM EDTWTAMARatMIA11:00 PM EDTWTADIAatKAR11:00 PM EDTATPSWatHS12:00 AM EDTWTAMAJatIVA12:00 AM EDTWTAGUOatELI12:30 AM EDTWTAHSatKS12:30 AM EDTWTASONatJAS1:30 AM EDTWTAEGatDS2:00 AM EDTATPALEatART2:30 AM EDTWTABMatQY3:00 AM EDTWTAJELatLEY3:30 AM EDTWTANOatSW3:30 AM EDTWTANURatAND4:00 AM EDTWTABTatHM4:30 AM EDTWTAKLatHM5:00 AM EDTWTALAUatLUC5:30 AM EDTATPALEatALE6:00 AM EDTWTAMARatTEO6:00 AM EDTWTABSatDM6:00 AM EDTWTAMATatDAL6:00 AM EDTWTARALatLEY6:00 AM EDTWTABMatGS6:30 AM EDTWTAIGAatASH7:00 AM EDTATPPZatMO7:30 AM EDTWTAJOEatTAM7:30 AM EDTWTAVIKatDOM7:30 AM EDTWTADWatPS7:30 AM EDTWTAFRAatFRA7:30 AM EDTWTABZatCL7:30 AM EDTWTAJANatANN8:30 AM EDTWTAZPatMZ9:00 AM EDTWTACLAatMAT9:00 AM EDTWTAMPatFS9:00 AM EDTWTAREBatANE9:30 AM EDTWTALEAatANO10:30 AM EDTWTAEZatJR10:30 AM EDTWTABIAatANT1:00 PM EDT
Board/NFL
NFLSun, 1:00 PM EDTMercedes-Benz Stadium

Chicago Bears at Atlanta Falcons

10/18 - 1:00 PM EDT · Fox

Computer pick · Total
Under 51.5
55%

CHI 25.76–24.30 ATL

Data-Driven Pick · D. London Under 94.5 rec yds

-110
Chicago Bears
3-2 · L1
119 PF · 96 PA
25.76
Projected
Atlanta Falcons
2-3 · L1
119 PF · 122 PA
24.30
CHI 54%ATL 46%

Projected CHI 25.76–24.30 ATL

DraftKingstap to log
ML
Spread
Total

The model

How this number was built

CHI 25.76–24.30 ATL · Medium confidence

Power index (FPI/BPI) plus shrunk attack/defense, blended with the posted market.

  • Power index
    ATL -2.7 vs CHI +1.7 · pred margin -1.5
  • Attack / defense
    ATL +0.5 off · CHI +0.8 off, shrunk 45%
  • Home field
    +2.4 pts to ATL
  • Record
    ATL 2-3 · CHI 3-2
  • Market prior
    Blended 68% toward CHI -1.5 / total 50.5
Full write-up of the model

Season leaders

  • Tyson Bagent
    Pass 42/64, 409 YDS, 3 INT
  • D'Andre Swift
    Rush 78 CAR, 354 YDS, 4 TD
  • Rome Odunze
    Rec 17 REC, 273 YDS
  • Michael Penix Jr.
    Pass 52/77, 719 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
  • Bijan Robinson
    Rush 102 CAR, 580 YDS, 4 TD
  • Drake London
    Rec 27 REC, 488 YDS

Team stats

Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.

CHIATL
Points Per Game23.823.8
Total Yards407.4375.0
Yards Passing234.2208.2
Yards Rushing173.2166.8
Points Allowed Per Game19.224.4
Yards Allowed324.6341.6
Pass Yards Allowed228.6261.4
Rush Yards Allowed96.080.2

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

Data-Driven PickComputer pick

D. London Under 94.5 rec yds

-11071%

Receiving yards · DraftKings

  • D. Swift anytime TD
    Anytime TD · CHI
    -110
    63%
  • R. Odunze anytime TD
    Anytime TD · CHI
    -110
    63%
  • ATL anytime TD
    Anytime TD · ATL
    -110
    62%
  • CHI anytime TD
    Anytime TD · CHI
    -110
    62%
  • B. Robinson Under 91.5 rush yds
    Rushing yards · ATL
    -110
    61%
  • M. Penix Jr. anytime TD
    Anytime TD · ATL
    -110
    61%
  • D. London anytime TD
    Anytime TD · ATL
    -110
    61%
  • B. Robinson anytime TD
    Anytime TD · ATL
    -110
    61%
  • D. London Under 6.5 rec
    Receptions · ATL
    -110
    60%
  • B. Robinson Over 27.5 rec yds
    Receiving yards · ATL
    -110
    56%
  • R. Odunze Over 3.5 rec
    Receptions · CHI
    -110
    54%
Overline Sports

Projections blend power-index ratings with DraftKings lines. Every game carries a computer pick and a tagged DK prop; closed games are graded against those pre-game leans. Statistical estimates, not betting advice. Live scores, clocks, and team pages from ESPN.

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