NCAAFQ2 1:08Alamodome
Navy Midshipmen at UTSA Roadrunners
Q2 1:08 · ESPNU
LiveUpdates as plays come in
2nd & 8
at UTSA 25 · NAVY ball
Q2 1:08
NAVY
7 plays, 50 yards, 2:48UTSA
Last play. M.Barrow rush left for 3 yards gain to the UTSA40 (A.Chapman), out of bounds PENALTY UTSA Face Mask (A.Chapman) 15 yards from UTSA40 to UTSA25, 1ST DOWN
Navy Midshipmen
2-3
14
Live
Q2 1:08
UTSA Roadrunners
5-1
21
NAVY 20%UTSA 80%
Model: NAVY 26.43–36.31 UTSA · live-adjusted
DraftKingsLiveas of 8:32 PM CT · tap to log
ML
Spread
Total
Model vs market
Our model
DraftKings
Spread
UTSA -5.6
UTSA -5.5
Total
55.5
52.5
Gap: +0.1 margin, +3.0 total. The projection shown above blends the model with this line.
Backtest 2023–2025 (FBS), 2,629 games, win-probability Brier (lower is better): model v2 0.1762 vs old model 0.1964. No free archive of college closing lines, so we can't benchmark against the market yet.
Advanced analytics
Matchup edge: NAVY vs UTSA
Computer pick · Total
Under 55.5
50%
NAVY 26.43–36.31 UTSA · 7.2 pts over 55.5
Player stats
The box score has not posted yet.