⌘K

NFLSun, 1:00 PM EDTMetLife Stadium

New Orleans Saints at New York Giants

10/18 - 1:00 PM EDT · Fox

Computer pick · Spread

NYG +1.5

54%

NO 23.06–22.68 NYG

Data-Driven Pick · C. Olave Under 79.5 rec yds

-110

New Orleans Saints

1-4 · L3

118 PF · 151 PA

23.06

Projected

New York Giants

3-1-1 · computer pick

109 PF · 106 PA

22.68

NO 51%NYG 49%

Projected NO 23.06–22.68 NYG

DraftKingstap to log

ML

Spread

Total

The model

How this number was built

NO 23.06–22.68 NYG · Medium confidence

Power index (FPI/BPI) plus shrunk attack/defense, blended with the posted market.

Power index
NYG -5.5 vs NO -3.5 · pred margin -0.4
Attack / defense
NYG -0.0 off · NO +0.1 off, shrunk 45%
Home field
+2.4 pts to NYG
Record
NYG 3-1-1 · NO 1-4
Market prior
Blended 68% toward NO -1.5 / total 45.5

Full write-up of the model

Season leaders

Tyler Shough
Pass 137/205, 1299 YDS, 9 TD, 5 INT
Alvin Kamara
Rush 28 CAR, 86 YDS, 2 TD
Chris Olave
Rec 39 REC, 537 YDS, 1 TD

Jameis Winston
Pass 76/132, 805 YDS, 6 TD, 3 INT
Cam Skattebo
Rush 81 CAR, 294 YDS, 1 TD
Malik Nabers
Rec 29 REC, 329 YDS, 2 TD

Team stats

Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.

	NO	NYG
Points Per Game	23.6	21.8
Total Yards	341.6	320.0
Yards Passing	259.8	211.0
Yards Rushing	81.8	109.0
Points Allowed Per Game	30.2	21.2
Yards Allowed	377.0	337.2
Pass Yards Allowed	228.2	209.6
Rush Yards Allowed	148.8	127.6

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

Data-Driven PickComputer pick

C. Olave Under 80.5 rec yds

-11065%

Receiving yards · DraftKings

C. Skattebo Over 1.5 rec
Receptions · NYG
-110
63%
M. Nabers Under 71.5 rec yds
Receiving yards · NYG
-110
62%
J. Winston Over 225.5 pass yds
Passing yards · NYG
-110
61%
C. Olave Under 6.5 rec
Receptions · NO
-110
60%
A. Kamara anytime TD
Anytime TD · NO
-110
59%
T. Shough anytime TD
Anytime TD · NO
-110
59%
C. Olave anytime TD
Anytime TD · NO
-110
59%
NO anytime TD
Anytime TD · NO
-110
59%
NYG anytime TD
Anytime TD · NYG
-110
59%
C. Skattebo Over 12.5 rec yds
Receiving yards · NYG
-110
58%
J. Winston anytime TD
Anytime TD · NYG
-110
58%