NCAAFQ4 3:06Nissan Stadium
Morgan State Bears at Tennessee State Tigers
Q4 3:06 · ESPN+
LiveUpdates as plays come in
Timeout
at MORG 41 · MORG ball
Q4 3:06
MORG
5 plays, 21 yards, 0:00TNST
Last play. Timeout Morgan State, clock 02:00
Morgan State Bears
5-1
16
Live
Q4 3:06
Tennessee State Tigers
1-5 · computer pick
25
MORG 3%TNST 97%
Model: MORG 17.42–26.25 TNST · live-adjusted
DraftKingsLiveas of 8:32 PM CT · tap to log
ML
Locked
Spread
Locked
Total
Locked
Model vs market
Our model
DraftKings
Spread
TNST -8.0
MORG -6.0
Total
56.8
50.5
Gap: +14.0 margin, +6.3 total. The projection shown above blends the model with this line.
Backtest 2023–2025 (FBS), 2,629 games, win-probability Brier (lower is better): model v2 0.1762 vs old model 0.1964. No free archive of college closing lines, so we can't benchmark against the market yet.
Advanced analytics
Matchup edge: MORG vs TNST
Computer pick · Spread
TNST +5.5
54%
MORG 17.42–26.25 TNST · TNST by 14.8 pts vs the number
Live stats
Cameron Edge · MORG
15/27 C/ATT · 158 YDSDaylin Lee · TNST
17/34 C/ATT · 220 YDSKeith Jenkins Jr. · MORG
11 CAR · 113 YDSJoseph Towler · MORG
3 REC · 56 YDSCam Bulluck · TNST
6 REC · 105 YDSBryce Djossou · MORG
6 TOT · 5 SOLO
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MORG | 0 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 16 |
| TNST | 9 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 25 |
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
Passing
| MORG | C/ATT | YDS | AVG | TD | INT | adjQBR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cameron Edge #5 | 15/27 | 158 | 5.9 | 1 | 2 | — |
Rushing
| MORG | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Keith Jenkins Jr. #1 | 11 | 113 | 10.3 | 1 | 50 |
Cameron Edge #5 | 6 | 16 | 2.7 | 0 | 16 |
 Randall Nauden #20 | 2 | 13 | 6.5 | 0 | 13 |
Receiving
| MORG | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Joseph Towler #0 | 3 | 56 | 18.7 | 1 | 30 |
Keith Jenkins Jr. #1 | 4 | 31 | 7.8 | 0 | 20 |
 Alex Simmons #9 | 2 | 23 | 11.5 | 0 | 14 |
Defense
| MORG | TOT | SOLO | SACKS | TFL | PD | QB HUR | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bryce Djossou #19 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2.5 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
 Joshua Narh #2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
R Raquane Matthews #6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |