NCAAFQ4 10:21J. Lawrence Walkup Skydome
Portland State Vikings at Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
Q4 10:21 · ESPN+
LiveUpdates as plays come in
Between plays
RED ZONEat PRST 3 · NAU ball
Q4 10:21
PRST
11 plays, 65 yards, 4:51NAU
Last play. (F. Orduno Jr. KICK)
Portland State Vikings
2-4 · computer pick
17
Live
Q4 10:21
RED ZONE
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
5-2
24
PRST 7%NAU 93%
Model: PRST 20.85–30.69 NAU · live-adjusted
DraftKingsLiveas of 8:37 PM CT · tap to log
ML
Locked
Spread
Locked
Total
Locked
Model vs market
Our model
DraftKings
Spread
NAU -14.2
NAU -17.5
Total
56.1
63.5
Gap: -3.3 margin, -7.4 total. The projection shown above blends the model with this line.
Backtest 2023–2025 (FBS), 2,629 games, win-probability Brier (lower is better): model v2 0.1762 vs old model 0.1964. No free archive of college closing lines, so we can't benchmark against the market yet.
Advanced analytics
Matchup edge: PRST vs NAU
Computer pick · Spread
PRST +17.5
57%
PRST 20.85–30.69 NAU · PRST by 7.7 pts vs the number
Player stats
The box score has not posted yet.