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PlayPORatLAUnder 3.5NBABKN119MIA1305:06NBACHA93BOS1140.0NBAPHX73SA912:34NBANO71DAL581:50NBACHI85MIL545:56NBADET86MIN724:18MLBMIL1LAD2Bot 6thNCAAFKENN14MOST14Q3 3:29NCAAFWKU10SHSU3HalftimeNHLMTL3WSH314:47NHLDAL0COL112:58MLSPHI1CHI150'MLSSEA0DAL053'MLSSKC0NSH353'MLSVAN0STL048'MLSMIN0COL012'MLSSJ0RSL012'NBADENatLAC10:30 PM EDTMLSATXatLAFC10:30 PM EDTMLSHOUatSD10:30 PM EDTWTAMARatMIA11:00 PM EDTWTADIAatKAR11:00 PM EDTATPSWatHS12:00 AM EDTWTAMAJatIVA12:00 AM EDTWTAGUOatELI12:30 AM EDTWTAHSatKS12:30 AM EDTWTASONatJAS1:30 AM EDTWTAEGatDS2:00 AM EDTATPALEatART2:30 AM EDTWTABMatQY3:00 AM EDTWTAJELatLEY3:30 AM EDTWTANOatSW3:30 AM EDTWTANURatAND4:00 AM EDTWTABTatHM4:30 AM EDTWTAKLatHM5:00 AM EDTWTALAUatLUC5:30 AM EDTATPALEatALE6:00 AM EDTWTAMARatTEO6:00 AM EDTWTABSatDM6:00 AM EDTWTAMATatDAL6:00 AM EDTWTARALatLEY6:00 AM EDTWTABMatGS6:30 AM EDTWTAIGAatASH7:00 AM EDTATPPZatMO7:30 AM EDTWTAJOEatTAM7:30 AM EDTWTAVIKatDOM7:30 AM EDTWTADWatPS7:30 AM EDTWTAFRAatFRA7:30 AM EDTWTABZatCL7:30 AM EDTWTAJANatANN8:30 AM EDTWTAZPatMZ9:00 AM EDTWTACLAatMAT9:00 AM EDTWTAMPatFS9:00 AM EDTWTAREBatANE9:30 AM EDTWTALEAatANO10:30 AM EDTWTAEZatJR10:30 AM EDTWTABIAatANT1:00 PM EDT
Board/NFL
NFLSun, 1:00 PM EDTRaymond James Stadium

Pittsburgh Steelers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

10/18 - 1:00 PM EDT · CBS

Computer pick · Spread
TB +2.5
54%

PIT 20.88–18.96 TB

Grok Expert · J. Daniels Over 177.5 pass yds

-110
Pittsburgh Steelers
3-2 · W1
111 PF · 109 PA
20.88
Projected
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
1-4 · W1 · computer pick
100 PF · 112 PA
18.96
PIT 56%TB 44%

Projected PIT 20.88–18.96 TB

DraftKingstap to log
ML
Spread
Total

The model

How this number was built

PIT 20.88–18.96 TB · Medium confidence

Power index (FPI/BPI) plus shrunk attack/defense, blended with the posted market.

  • Power index
    TB -4.9 vs PIT -1.1 · pred margin -1.9
  • Attack / defense
    TB -1.5 off · PIT +0.0 off, shrunk 45%
  • Home field
    +2.4 pts to TB
  • Record
    TB 1-4 · PIT 3-2
  • Market prior
    Blended 68% toward PIT -2.5 / total 39.5
Full write-up of the model

Season leaders

  • Aaron Rodgers
    Pass 110/184, 1234 YDS, 10 TD, 4 INT
  • Jaylen Warren
    Rush 70 CAR, 410 YDS, 1 TD
  • Jaylen Warren
    Rec 19 REC, 230 YDS, 1 TD
  • Jalon Daniels
    Pass 38/55, 337 YDS, 2 TD, 3 INT
  • Bucky Irving
    Rush 77 CAR, 406 YDS, 2 TD
  • Emeka Egbuka
    Rec 21 REC, 192 YDS, 1 TD

Team stats

Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.

PITTB
Points Per Game22.220.0
Total Yards348.0323.4
Yards Passing246.8190.4
Yards Rushing101.2133.0
Points Allowed Per Game21.822.4
Yards Allowed337.0307.4
Pass Yards Allowed233.6234.6
Rush Yards Allowed103.472.8

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

Grok ExpertComputer pick

J. Daniels Over 177.5 pass yds

-11068%

Passing yards · DraftKings

  • J. Daniels Over 217.5 pass+rush yds
    Pass + rush yards · TB
    -110
    68%
  • B. Irving Over 1.5 rec
    Receptions · TB
    -110
    62%
  • A. Rodgers Over 0.5 rush yds
    Rushing yards · PIT
    -110
    60%
  • B. Irving Over 11.5 rec yds
    Receiving yards · TB
    -110
    58%
  • E. Egbuka Over 35.5 rec yds
    Receiving yards · TB
    -110
    56%
  • A. Rodgers anytime TD
    Anytime TD · PIT
    -110
    55%
  • J. Warren anytime TD
    Anytime TD · PIT
    -110
    55%
  • J. Daniels Over 36.5 rush yds
    Rushing yards · TB
    -110
    55%
  • J. Daniels Over 28.5 att
    Pass attempts · TB
    -110
    54%
  • PIT anytime TD
    Anytime TD · PIT
    -110
    54%
  • TB anytime TD
    Anytime TD · TB
    -110
    54%