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PlayPORatLAUnder 3.5NBABKN119MIA1305:06NBACHA93BOS1140.0NBAPHX73SA912:34NBANO71DAL581:50NBACHI85MIL545:56NBADET86MIN724:18MLBMIL1LAD2Bot 6thNCAAFKENN14MOST14Q3 3:29NCAAFWKU10SHSU3HalftimeNHLMTL3WSH314:47NHLDAL0COL112:58MLSPHI1CHI150'MLSSEA0DAL053'MLSSKC0NSH353'MLSVAN0STL048'MLSMIN0COL012'MLSSJ0RSL012'NBADENatLAC10:30 PM EDTMLSATXatLAFC10:30 PM EDTMLSHOUatSD10:30 PM EDTWTAMARatMIA11:00 PM EDTWTADIAatKAR11:00 PM EDTATPSWatHS12:00 AM EDTWTAMAJatIVA12:00 AM EDTWTAGUOatELI12:30 AM EDTWTAHSatKS12:30 AM EDTWTASONatJAS1:30 AM EDTWTAEGatDS2:00 AM EDTATPALEatART2:30 AM EDTWTABMatQY3:00 AM EDTWTAJELatLEY3:30 AM EDTWTANOatSW3:30 AM EDTWTANURatAND4:00 AM EDTWTABTatHM4:30 AM EDTWTAKLatHM5:00 AM EDTWTALAUatLUC5:30 AM EDTATPALEatALE6:00 AM EDTWTAMARatTEO6:00 AM EDTWTABSatDM6:00 AM EDTWTAMATatDAL6:00 AM EDTWTARALatLEY6:00 AM EDTWTABMatGS6:30 AM EDTWTAIGAatASH7:00 AM EDTATPPZatMO7:30 AM EDTWTAJOEatTAM7:30 AM EDTWTAVIKatDOM7:30 AM EDTWTADWatPS7:30 AM EDTWTAFRAatFRA7:30 AM EDTWTABZatCL7:30 AM EDTWTAJANatANN8:30 AM EDTWTAZPatMZ9:00 AM EDTWTACLAatMAT9:00 AM EDTWTAMPatFS9:00 AM EDTWTAREBatANE9:30 AM EDTWTALEAatANO10:30 AM EDTWTAEZatJR10:30 AM EDTWTABIAatANT1:00 PM EDT
Board/NFL
NFLSun, 9:30 AM EDTWembley Stadium

Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars

10/18 - 9:30 AM EDT · NFL Net

Computer pick · Total
Over 42.5
52%

HOU 19.47–22.98 JAX

Grok Expert · W. Marks Over 48.5 rush yds

-110
Houston Texans
1-4 · W1
110 PF · 112 PA
19.47
Projected
Jacksonville Jaguars
4-1 · W3
123 PF · 70 PA
22.98
HOU 40%JAX 60%

Projected HOU 19.47–22.98 JAX

DraftKingstap to log
ML
Spread
Total

The model

How this number was built

HOU 19.47–22.98 JAX · Medium confidence

Power index (FPI/BPI) plus shrunk attack/defense, blended with the posted market.

  • Power index
    JAX +4.3 vs HOU +1.8 · pred margin +3.5
  • Attack / defense
    JAX +1.4 off · HOU -0.6 off, shrunk 45%
  • Home field
    +2.4 pts to JAX
  • Record
    JAX 4-1 · HOU 1-4
  • Market prior
    Blended 68% toward JAX -2.5 / total 42.5
Full write-up of the model

Season leaders

  • C.J. Stroud
    Pass 119/185, 1402 YDS, 6 TD
  • Woody Marks
    Rush 43 CAR, 149 YDS, 2 TD
  • Nico Collins
    Rec 19 REC, 249 YDS, 3 TD
  • Trevor Lawrence
    Pass 96/143, 1174 YDS, 10 TD, 3 INT
  • Bhayshul Tuten
    Rush 82 CAR, 349 YDS, 2 TD
  • Parker Washington
    Rec 22 REC, 352 YDS, 4 TD

Team stats

Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.

HOUJAX
Points Per Game22.024.6
Total Yards359.4349.0
Yards Passing280.4234.8
Yards Rushing79.0114.2
Points Allowed Per Game22.414.0
Yards Allowed334.6341.0
Pass Yards Allowed256.2277.2
Rush Yards Allowed78.463.8

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

Grok ExpertComputer pick

W. Marks Over 47.5 rush yds

-11069%

Rushing yards · DraftKings

  • T. Lawrence Over 3.5 car
    Carries · JAX
    -110
    63%
  • C.J. Stroud Over 3.5 car
    Carries · HOU
    -110
    63%
  • B. Tuten Over 1.5 rec
    Receptions · JAX
    -110
    63%
  • N. Collins Under 75.5 rec yds
    Receiving yards · HOU
    -110
    62%
  • C.J. Stroud Under 270.5 pass+rush yds
    Pass + rush yards · HOU
    -110
    60%
  • B. Tuten Over 8.5 rec yds
    Receiving yards · JAX
    -110
    59%
  • C.J. Stroud Over 9.5 rush yds
    Rushing yards · HOU
    -110
    59%
  • T. Lawrence Over 13.5 rush yds
    Rushing yards · JAX
    -110
    59%
  • T. Lawrence anytime TD
    Anytime TD · JAX
    -110
    59%
  • W. Marks Over 2.5 rec
    Receptions · HOU
    -110
    58%
  • W. Marks Over 15.5 rec yds
    Receiving yards · HOU
    -110
    58%