NCAAFSat 9:00 PM CTHornet Stadium
Ohio Bobcats at Sacramento State Hornets
TV · ESPN+
Sat 9:00 PM CT
Computer pick · Spread
SAC +15.5
51%
OHIO 31.50–15.73 SAC
Ohio Bobcats
4-2
31.50
Projected
Sacramento State Hornets
1-5 · computer pick
15.73
OHIO 83%SAC 17%
Projected OHIO 31.50–15.73 SAC
DraftKingstap to log
ML
Spread
Total
Model vs market
Our model
DraftKings
Spread
OHIO -8.1
OHIO -17.5
Total
50.4
46.5
Gap: +9.4 margin, +3.9 total. The projection shown above blends the model with this line.
Backtest 2023–2025 (FBS), 2,629 games, win-probability Brier (lower is better): model v2 0.1762 vs old model 0.1964. No free archive of college closing lines, so we can't benchmark against the market yet.
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