NCAAFQ3 2:57Fargodome
Nevada Wolf Pack at North Dakota State Bison
Q3 2:57 · CBSSN
LiveUpdates as plays come in
Timeout
at NDSU 37 · NDSU ball
Q3 2:57
NEV
7 plays, 38 yards, 2:15NDSU
Last play. Timeout Nevada, clock 02:57
Nevada Wolf Pack
2-3 · computer pick
17
Live
Q3 2:57
North Dakota State Bison
5-1
24
NEV 10%NDSU 90%
Model: NEV 21.40–32.62 NDSU · live-adjusted
DraftKingsLiveas of 8:37 PM CT · tap to log
ML
Spread
Total
Model vs market
Our model
DraftKings
Spread
NDSU -13.3
NDSU -14.5
Total
45.7
42.5
Gap: -1.2 margin, +3.2 total. The projection shown above blends the model with this line.
Backtest 2023–2025 (FBS), 2,629 games, win-probability Brier (lower is better): model v2 0.1762 vs old model 0.1964. No free archive of college closing lines, so we can't benchmark against the market yet.
Advanced analytics
Matchup edge: NEV vs NDSU
Computer pick · Spread
NEV +14.5
53%
NEV 21.40–32.62 NDSU · NEV by 3.3 pts vs the number
Player stats
The box score has not posted yet.