NCAAFSat 9:15 PM CTFolsom Field
#11 Utah Utes at Colorado Buffaloes
TV · ESPN
Sat 9:15 PM CT
Computer pick · Total
Over 49.5
50%
UTAH 33.51–16.60 COLO
#11Utah Utes
5-0
33.51
Projected
Colorado Buffaloes
2-3
16.60
UTAH 85%COLO 15%
Projected UTAH 33.51–16.60 COLO
DraftKingstap to log
ML
Spread
Total
Model vs market
Our model
DraftKings
Spread
UTAH -23.4
UTAH -15.5
Total
52.9
49.5
Gap: -7.9 margin, +3.4 total. The projection shown above blends the model with this line.
Backtest 2023–2025 (FBS), 2,629 games, win-probability Brier (lower is better): model v2 0.1762 vs old model 0.1964. No free archive of college closing lines, so we can't benchmark against the market yet.
Advanced analytics