Overline Sports
PlayPORatLAUnder 3.5NBABKN112MIA1247:33NBACHA90BOS1092:17NBAPHX61SA806:26NBANO67DAL563:31NBACHI76MIL477:49NBADET75MIN677:13MLBMIL1LAD0Bot 6thNCAAFKENN14MOST14Q3 6:01NCAAFWKU10SHSU3HalftimeNHLMTL3WSH320:00NHLDAL0COL016:13MLSPHI0CHI1HTMLSSEA0DAL046'MLSSKC0NSH346'MLSVAN0STL0HTMLSMIN0COL05'MLSSJ0RSL06'NBADENatLAC10:30 PM EDTMLSATXatLAFC10:30 PM EDTMLSHOUatSD10:30 PM EDTWTAMARatMIA11:00 PM EDTWTADIAatKAR11:00 PM EDTATPSWatHS12:00 AM EDTWTAMAJatIVA12:00 AM EDTWTAGUOatELI12:30 AM EDTWTAHSatKS12:30 AM EDTWTASONatJAS1:30 AM EDTWTAEGatDS2:00 AM EDTATPALEatART2:30 AM EDTWTABMatQY3:00 AM EDTWTAJELatLEY3:30 AM EDTWTANOatSW3:30 AM EDTWTANURatAND4:00 AM EDTWTABTatHM4:30 AM EDTWTAKLatHM5:00 AM EDTWTALAUatLUC5:30 AM EDTATPALEatALE6:00 AM EDTWTAMARatTEO6:00 AM EDTWTABSatDM6:00 AM EDTWTAMATatDAL6:00 AM EDTWTARALatLEY6:00 AM EDTWTABMatGS6:30 AM EDTWTAIGAatASH7:00 AM EDTATPPZatMO7:30 AM EDTWTAJOEatTAM7:30 AM EDTWTAVIKatDOM7:30 AM EDTWTADWatPS7:30 AM EDTWTAFRAatFRA7:30 AM EDTWTABZatCL7:30 AM EDTWTAJANatANN8:30 AM EDTWTAZPatMZ9:00 AM EDTWTACLAatMAT9:00 AM EDTWTAMPatFS9:00 AM EDTWTAREBatANE9:30 AM EDTWTALEAatANO10:30 AM EDTWTAEZatJR10:30 AM EDTWTABIAatANT1:00 PM EDT
Board/NFL
NFLSun, 1:00 PM EDTHuntington Bank Field

Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns

10/18 - 1:00 PM EDT · Fox

Computer pick · Spread
CLE +5.5
54%

BAL 23.82–19.20 CLE

Grok Expert · D. Watson Over 201.5 pass yds

-110
Baltimore Ravens
4-1 · W3
146 PF · 119 PA
23.82
Projected
Cleveland Browns
3-2 · L1 · computer pick
93 PF · 112 PA
19.20
BAL 63%CLE 37%

Projected BAL 23.82–19.20 CLE

DraftKingstap to log
ML
Spread
Total

The model

How this number was built

BAL 23.82–19.20 CLE · Medium confidence

Power index (FPI/BPI) plus shrunk attack/defense, blended with the posted market.

  • Power index
    CLE -4.7 vs BAL +0.8 · pred margin -4.6
  • Attack / defense
    CLE -1.6 off · BAL +3.5 off, shrunk 45%
  • Home field
    +2.4 pts to CLE
  • Record
    CLE 3-2 · BAL 4-1
  • Market prior
    Blended 68% toward BAL -5.5 / total 42.5
Full write-up of the model

Season leaders

  • Lamar Jackson
    Pass 68/96, 967 YDS, 6 TD, 1 INT
  • Derrick Henry
    Rush 113 CAR, 476 YDS, 7 TD
  • Zay Flowers
    Rec 26 REC, 405 YDS, 2 TD
  • Deshaun Watson
    Pass 95/148, 1010 YDS, 7 TD, 2 INT
  • Quinshon Judkins
    Rush 73 CAR, 221 YDS, 1 TD
  • Denzel Boston
    Rec 16 REC, 330 YDS, 3 TD

Team stats

Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.

BALCLE
Points Per Game29.218.6
Total Yards410.6296.2
Yards Passing246.2202.0
Yards Rushing164.494.2
Points Allowed Per Game23.822.4
Yards Allowed340.0357.2
Pass Yards Allowed238.0239.8
Rush Yards Allowed102.0117.4

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

Grok ExpertComputer pick

D. Watson Over 201.5 pass yds

-11063%

Passing yards · DraftKings

  • D. Henry Under 88.5 rush yds
    Rushing yards · BAL
    -110
    62%
  • D. Henry anytime TD
    Anytime TD · BAL
    -110
    60%
  • Z. Flowers anytime TD
    Anytime TD · BAL
    -110
    60%
  • CLE anytime TD
    Anytime TD · CLE
    -110
    56%
  • BAL anytime TD
    Anytime TD · BAL
    -110
    56%
  • D. Watson Over 28.5 rush yds
    Rushing yards · CLE
    -110
    56%
  • D. Watson Over 233.5 pass+rush yds
    Pass + rush yards · CLE
    -110
    55%
  • D. Henry Under 20.5 car
    Carries · BAL
    -110
    55%
  • D. Boston Under 54.5 rec yds
    Receiving yards · CLE
    -110
    54%
  • D. Boston Over 3.5 rec
    Receptions · CLE
    -110
    53%
  • D. Watson anytime TD
    Anytime TD · CLE
    -110
    52%