NCAAFHalftimeLaVell Edwards Stadium

#2 Notre Dame Fighting Irish at #8 BYU Cougars

Halftime · ABC

LiveUpdates as plays come in

2nd & 10

at BYU 5 · BYU ball

Halftime

10 plays, 70 yards, 1:23

BYU

Last play. Kneel down by BYU at BYU05 for loss of 1 yard

#2Notre Dame Fighting Irish

6-0 · W6

264 PF · 66 PA

Live

Halftime

#8BYU Cougars

5-0 · W5

173 PF · 67 PA

ND 30%BYU 70%

Model: ND 24.57–30.46 BYU · live-adjusted

DraftKingsLiveas of 8:37 PM CT · tap to log

Spread

Total

Model vs market

Our model

DraftKings

Spread

ND -9.6

ND -10.5

Total

49.3

47.5

Gap: +0.9 margin, +1.8 total. The projection shown above blends the model with this line.

Backtest 2023–2025 (FBS), 2,629 games, win-probability Brier (lower is better): model v2 0.1762 vs old model 0.1964. No free archive of college closing lines, so we can't benchmark against the market yet.

Advanced analytics

Matchup edge: ND vs BYU

The model

How this number was built

ND 24.57–30.46 BYU · Medium confidence

overline-model-v2: opponent-adjusted ratings + matchup features. Power index (FPI/BPI) plus shrunk attack/defense, blended with the posted market.

Power index
BYU +15.2 vs ND +29.5 · pred margin +5.9
Opponent-adjusted ratings (model v2)
Opponent-adjusted (SOS) +10.1 vs +15.9 · model BYU 23.9–29.7 ND
Home field
+3.0 pts to BYU
Record
BYU 5-0 · ND 6-0
Market prior
Blended 68% toward ND -10.5 / total 47.5
Live residual
50% of pregame scoring still on the clock

Full write-up of the model

Computer pick · Total

Over 46.5

52%

ND 24.57–30.46 BYU · 8.5 pts over 46.5

Live stats

CJ Carr · ND
13/20 C/ATT · 113 YDS
Bear Bachmeier · BYU
13/18 C/ATT · 128 YDS
Nolan James Jr. · ND
10 CAR · 68 YDS
Preston Rex · BYU
6 CAR · 47 YDS
Jordan Faison · ND
4 REC · 46 YDS
Walker Lyons · BYU
3 REC · 37 YDS

Line score

	Q1	Q2	T
ND	3	7	10
BYU	7	14	21

How the points were scored

TDQ2 1:2910–21
B. Bachmeier run for 1 yd, for a TD (M. Dunn KICK)
TDQ2 5:5210–14
K. Kasper pass to B. Bachmeier for 15 yds, for a TD (M. Dunn KICK)
TDQ2 10:3710–7
N. James Jr. run for 8 yds, for a TD (S. Porath KICK)
FGQ1 5:063–7
S. Porath 46 yd FG GOOD
TDQ1 9:210–7
B. Bachmeier run for 5 yds, for a TD (M. Dunn KICK)

Player stats

Full box — every player, every category.

Live

Passing

ND	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	adjQBR
CJ Carr #13	13/20	113	5.7	0	0	—
Team	13/20	113	5.7	0	0	—

Rushing

ND	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Nolan James Jr. #2	10	68	6.8	1	26
Jonaz Walton #20	1	3	3.0	0	3
CJ Carr #13	2	3	1.5	0	4
Team	13	74	5.7	1	26

Receiving

ND	REC	YDS	AVG	LONG
Jordan Faison #6	4	46	11.5	18
Jaden Greathouse #1	2	31	15.5	24
Micah Gilbert #14	2	25	12.5	13
Jack Larsen #85	2	11	5.5	7
Aneyas Williams #22	1	5	5.0	5
James Flanigan #88	1	0	0.0	0
CJ Carr #13	1	-5	-5.0	0
Team	13	113	8.7	24

Fumbles

ND	FUM	LOST	REC
CJ Carr #13	1	1	0
Team	1	1	0

Defense

ND	TOT	SOLO	TFL	PD
Drayk Bowen #34	5	3	0	0
Jaylen Sneed #3	4	3	0	0
Bryce Young #95	4	3	0	0
Christian Gray #29	3	3	0	0
Adon Shuler #8	2	2	0	0
Luke Talich #28	2	2	0	0
Jaiden Ausberry #4	2	1	0	0
Leonard Moore #15	2	1	0	0
Tionne Gray #0	2	1	0	0
Jason Onye #47	1	1	0	0
DJ McKinney #2	1	1	0	0
Keon Keeley #11	1	1	0	1
Joey O'Brien #20	1	1	1	0
Boubacar Traore #5	1	0	0	0
Armel Mukam #88	1	0	0	0
Loghan Thomas #10	1	0	0	0
Kyngstonn Viliamu-Asa #27	1	0	0	0
Francis Brewu #7	1	0	0	0
Team	35	23	1	1

Kicking

ND	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
Spencer Porath #35	1/1	100.0	46	1/1	4
Team	1/1	100.0	46	1/1	4

Punting

ND	NO	YDS	AVG	TB	In 20	LONG
Jasper Scaife #39	1	49	49.0	0	0	49
Team	1	49	49.0	0	0	49

Team stats

Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.

	ND	BYU
1st Downs	12	16
3rd down efficiency	5-7	4-5
4th down efficiency	0-0	0-0
Total Yards	187	229
Passing	113	143
Comp/Att	13/20	14/19
Yards per pass	5.7	7.5
Rushing	74	86
Rushing Attempts	13	19
Yards per rush	5.7	4.5
Penalties	3-25	1-15
Turnovers	1	0
Fumbles lost	1	0
Interceptions thrown	0	0
Possession	12:56	17:04

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.