NCAAFSat 9:30 PM CTCalifornia Memorial Stadium
#21 Wake Forest Demon Deacons at California Golden Bears
TV · ESPN2
Sat 9:30 PM CT
Computer pick · Total
Over 53.5
51%
WAKE 31.31–21.98 CAL
#21Wake Forest Demon Deacons
5-1
31.31
Projected
California Golden Bears
3-3
21.98
WAKE 72%CAL 28%
Projected WAKE 31.31–21.98 CAL
DraftKingstap to log
ML
Spread
Total
Model vs market
Our model
DraftKings
Spread
WAKE -8.0
WAKE -10.0
Total
52.9
53.5
Gap: +2.0 margin, -0.6 total. The projection shown above blends the model with this line.
Backtest 2023–2025 (FBS), 2,629 games, win-probability Brier (lower is better): model v2 0.1762 vs old model 0.1964. No free archive of college closing lines, so we can't benchmark against the market yet.
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