D.C. United at Orlando City SC
FT · Apple TV
Model: DC 1.66–2.03 ORL
How close was our sim?
Pre-game sim locked Oct 16, 5:58 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 1947725054
- Winner: Orlando (42%)
- Total: Over 3.5 (57%)
- Score error (both teams)3
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
DC 1.66–2.03 ORL · Medium confidence
Independent Poisson scorelines from shrunk attack/defense ratings, blended with the market.
- Attack / defenseORL +0.3 off · DC -0.1 off, shrunk 78%
- Home field+0.3 goals to ORL
- RecordORL 12-5-13 · DC 7-12-10
- Market priorBlended 61% toward ORL -155 / total 3.5
Line score
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DC | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| ORL | 2 | 2 | 4 |
How the goals went in
- GOAL1H 15'
Goal! Orlando City SC 1, D.C. United 0. Antoine Griezmann (Orlando City SC) right footed shot from the centre of the box to the centre of the goal. Assisted by Martín Ojeda.
- GOAL1H 22'
Goal! Orlando City SC 2, D.C. United 0. Martín Ojeda (Orlando City SC) right footed shot from the centre of the box to the bottom left corner. Assisted by Antoine Griezmann with a through ball.
- GOAL1H 45'+2'
Goal! Orlando City SC 2, D.C. United 1. Tai Baribo (D.C. United) converts the penalty with a right footed shot to the bottom left corner.
- GOAL2H 50'
Goal! Orlando City SC 3, D.C. United 1. Antoine Griezmann (Orlando City SC) left footed shot from the centre of the box to the bottom right corner.
- GOAL2H 90'+5'
Goal! Orlando City SC 4, D.C. United 1. Marco Pasalic (Orlando City SC) left footed shot from the centre of the box to the bottom left corner. Assisted by Justin Ellis with a through ball following a fast break.
Game leaders
- Tai Baribototalshots 7
- Andre DozzellPass 50
Sean Nealisdefensiveinterventions 10
Sean JohnsonSV 3
Iván Angulototalshots 4- David BrekaloPass 78
- Iago Teodorodefensiveinterventions 16
Maxime CrépeauSV 3
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| DC | ORL | |
|---|---|---|
| Fouls | 18 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards | 3 | 1 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 |
| Offsides | 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks | 8 | 1 |
| Saves | 3 | 3 |
| Possession | 40.7 | 59.3 |
| SHOTS | 15 | 13 |
| ON GOAL | 4 | 7 |
| On Target % | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Penalty Goals | 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Kicks Taken | 1 | 0 |
| Accurate Passes | 320 | 534 |
| Passes | 389 | 610 |
| Pass Completion % | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| Accurate Crosses | 8 | 2 |
| Crosses | 35 | 4 |
| Cross % | 0.2 | 0.5 |
| Long Balls | 44 | 43 |
| Accurate Long Balls | 19 | 28 |
| Long Balls % | 0.4 | 0.7 |
| Blocked Shots | 3 | 2 |
| Effective Tackles | 7 | 12 |
| Tackles | 14 | 19 |
| Tackle % | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| Interceptions | 8 | 10 |
| Effective Clearances | 14 | 34 |
| Clearances | 14 | 34 |
DC 1.66–2.03 ORL
HitData-Driven Pick · A. Griezmann anytime goal
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.