LAFC at New York City FC
FT · Apple TV
Model: LAFC 1.43–1.09 NYC
How close was our sim?
Pre-game sim locked Oct 16, 5:58 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 1712397103
- Winner: LAFC (37%)
- Total: Under 2.5 (51%)
- Score error (both teams)0
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
LAFC 1.43–1.09 NYC · Medium confidence
Independent Poisson scorelines from shrunk attack/defense ratings, blended with the market.
- Attack / defenseNYC -0.0 off · LAFC +0.1 off, shrunk 78%
- Home field+0.3 goals to NYC
- RecordNYC 8-10-12 · LAFC 12-10-9
- Market priorBlended 61% toward LAFC +140 / total 2.5
Line score
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAFC | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| NYC | 0 | 1 | 1 |
How the goals went in
- GOAL1H 45'+1'
Goal! New York City FC 0, Los Angeles Football Club 1. Leo Walta (Los Angeles Football Club) from a free kick with a right footed shot to the top right corner.
- GOAL2H 59'
Goal! New York City FC 1, Los Angeles Football Club 1. Andrés Perea (New York City FC) header from the right side of the six yard box to the high centre of the goal. Assisted by Nicolás Fernández Mercau with a cross following a corner.
Game leaders
- Leo Waltatotalshots 3
Nkosi TafariPass 45
Aaron Longdefensiveinterventions 16- Hugo LlorisSV 2
Talles Magnototalshots 4
James SandsPass 114- James Sandsdefensiveinterventions 11
Matt FreeseSV 2
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| LAFC | NYC | |
|---|---|---|
| Fouls | 8 | 18 |
| Yellow Cards | 0 | 3 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 |
| Offsides | 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks | 5 | 10 |
| Saves | 2 | 2 |
| Possession | 34.5 | 65.5 |
| SHOTS | 9 | 14 |
| ON GOAL | 3 | 3 |
| On Target % | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| Penalty Goals | 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Kicks Taken | 0 | 0 |
| Accurate Passes | 298 | 630 |
| Passes | 367 | 697 |
| Pass Completion % | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| Accurate Crosses | 1 | 7 |
| Crosses | 10 | 24 |
| Cross % | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| Long Balls | 43 | 60 |
| Accurate Long Balls | 14 | 35 |
| Long Balls % | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| Blocked Shots | 1 | 6 |
| Effective Tackles | 9 | 8 |
| Tackles | 17 | 13 |
| Tackle % | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| Interceptions | 12 | 9 |
| Effective Clearances | 28 | 15 |
| Clearances | 28 | 15 |
LAFC 1.43–1.09 NYC
HitPlayer props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.