NCAAFHalftimeNottingham Field
Cal Poly Mustangs at Northern Colorado Bears
Halftime · ESPN+
LiveUpdates as plays come in
2nd & 10
at UNCO 32 · UNCO ball
Halftime
CP
1 play, 7 yards, 0:11UNCO
Last play. End of 2nd quarter.
Cal Poly Mustangs
4-3
10
Live
Halftime
Northern Colorado Bears
2-5 · computer pick
14
CP 38%UNCO 62%
Model: CP 23.46–26.81 UNCO · live-adjusted
DraftKingsLiveas of 8:32 PM CT · tap to log
ML
Locked
Spread
Locked
Total
Locked
Model vs market
Our model
DraftKings
Spread
UNCO -6.0
CP -3.0
Total
52.7
52.5
Gap: +9.0 margin, +0.2 total. The projection shown above blends the model with this line.
Backtest 2023–2025 (FBS), 2,629 games, win-probability Brier (lower is better): model v2 0.1762 vs old model 0.1964. No free archive of college closing lines, so we can't benchmark against the market yet.
Advanced analytics
Matchup edge: CP vs UNCO
Computer pick · Spread
UNCO +2.5
54%
CP 23.46–26.81 UNCO · UNCO by 6.4 pts vs the number
Player stats
The box score has not posted yet.