NCAAFHalftimeEccles Coliseum
UC Davis Aggies at Southern Utah Thunderbirds
Halftime · ESPN+
LiveUpdates as plays come in
3rd & 10
at UCD 35 · UCD ball
Halftime
UCD
9 plays, 64 yards, 0:44SUU
Last play. End of 2nd quarter.
UC Davis Aggies
4-2
17
Live
Halftime
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
2-4
9
UCD 79%SUU 21%
Model: UCD 33.60–24.40 SUU · live-adjusted
DraftKingsLiveas of 8:37 PM CT · tap to log
ML
Locked
Spread
Locked
Total
Locked
Model vs market
Our model
DraftKings
Spread
SUU -6.9
UCD -4.5
Total
57.4
65.5
Gap: +11.4 margin, -8.1 total. The projection shown above blends the model with this line.
Backtest 2023–2025 (FBS), 2,629 games, win-probability Brier (lower is better): model v2 0.1762 vs old model 0.1964. No free archive of college closing lines, so we can't benchmark against the market yet.
Advanced analytics
Matchup edge: UCD vs SUU
Computer pick · Total
Under 64.5
54%
UCD 33.60–24.40 SUU · 6.5 pts under 64.5
Player stats
The box score has not posted yet.