Chicago Fire FC at New England Revolution
FT · Apple TV
Model: CHI 1.64–1.85 NE
How close was our sim?
Pre-game sim locked Oct 16, 5:58 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 1813062817
- Winner: New England (44%)
- Total: Under 3.5 (55%)
- Score error (both teams)3
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
CHI 1.64–1.85 NE · Low confidence
Independent Poisson scorelines from shrunk attack/defense ratings, blended with the market.
- Attack / defenseNE +0.2 off · CHI +0.3 off, shrunk 78%
- Home field+0.3 goals to NE
- RecordNE 16-4-10 · CHI 14-6-10
Line score
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| NE | 1 | 0 | 1 |
How the goals went in
- GOAL1H 26'
Goal! New England Revolution 1, Chicago Fire FC 0. Matt Polster (New England Revolution) right footed shot from the centre of the box to the bottom left corner. Assisted by Carles Gil.
Game leaders
- Philip Zinckernageltotalshots 5
- Andreas Hanche-OlsenPass 78
- Anzor Mekvabishvilidefensiveinterventions 7
Chris BradySV 3
- Peyton Millertotalshots 3
Carles GilPass 49- Joshua Wynderdefensiveinterventions 14
Matt TurnerSV 6
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| CHI | NE | |
|---|---|---|
| Fouls | 17 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards | 1 | 1 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 |
| Offsides | 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks | 10 | 0 |
| Saves | 3 | 6 |
| Possession | 61.7 | 38.3 |
| SHOTS | 19 | 5 |
| ON GOAL | 6 | 4 |
| On Target % | 0.3 | 0.8 |
| Penalty Goals | 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Kicks Taken | 0 | 0 |
| Accurate Passes | 515 | 310 |
| Passes | 573 | 363 |
| Pass Completion % | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| Accurate Crosses | 3 | 2 |
| Crosses | 29 | 7 |
| Cross % | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| Long Balls | 31 | 49 |
| Accurate Long Balls | 17 | 25 |
| Long Balls % | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Blocked Shots | 10 | 0 |
| Effective Tackles | 9 | 11 |
| Tackles | 19 | 14 |
| Tackle % | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| Interceptions | 2 | 10 |
| Effective Clearances | 6 | 31 |
| Clearances | 6 | 31 |
CHI 1.64–1.85 NE
HitPlayer props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.