NCAAFQ3 3:35Gayle and Tom Benson Stadium
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros at Incarnate Word Cardinals
Q3 3:35 · ESPN+
LiveUpdates as plays come in
4th & 6
RED ZONEat RGV 20 · UIW ball
Q3 3:35
RGV
5 plays, 28 yards, 0:00UIW
Last play. E.Brown pass incomplete deep left to R.Alexander thrown to RGV00 broken up by D.Blackwell
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
3-3
10
Live
Q3 3:35
RED ZONE
Incarnate Word Cardinals
2-4
34
RGV <1%UIW >99%
Model: RGV 18.15–42.82 UIW · live-adjusted
DraftKingsLiveas of 8:37 PM CT · tap to log
ML
Locked
Spread
Locked
Total
Locked
Model vs market
Our model
DraftKings
Spread
RGV -0.7
UIW -3.5
Total
55.4
54.5
Gap: -4.2 margin, +0.9 total. The projection shown above blends the model with this line.
Backtest 2023–2025 (FBS), 2,629 games, win-probability Brier (lower is better): model v2 0.1762 vs old model 0.1964. No free archive of college closing lines, so we can't benchmark against the market yet.
Advanced analytics
Matchup edge: RGV vs UIW
Computer pick · Total
Under 53.5
50%
RGV 18.15–42.82 UIW · 7.5 pts over 53.5
Player stats
The box score has not posted yet.