NCAAFQ3 8:17Rose Bowl
Wisconsin Badgers at #12 UCLA Bruins
Q3 8:17 · NBC
LiveUpdates as plays come in
Between plays
RED ZONEat UCLA 3 · WIS ball
Q3 8:17
WIS
11 plays, 44 yards, 5:50UCLA
Last play. (G. Lahm KICK)
Wisconsin Badgers
4-1
7
Live
Q3 8:17
RED ZONE
#12UCLA Bruins
5-0
10
WIS 35%UCLA 65%
Model: WIS 15.15–18.97 UCLA · live-adjusted
DraftKingsLiveas of 8:37 PM CT · tap to log
ML
Spread
Total
Model vs market
Our model
DraftKings
Spread
UCLA -3.4
UCLA -1.5
Total
47.6
42.5
Gap: +1.9 margin, +5.1 total. The projection shown above blends the model with this line.
Backtest 2023–2025 (FBS), 2,629 games, win-probability Brier (lower is better): model v2 0.1762 vs old model 0.1964. No free archive of college closing lines, so we can't benchmark against the market yet.
Advanced analytics
Matchup edge: WIS vs UCLA
Computer pick · Total
Over 42.5
53%
WIS 15.15–18.97 UCLA · 8.4 pts under 42.5
Player stats
The box score has not posted yet.