NCAAFQ4 14:05Tarleton Memorial Stadium
Central Arkansas Bears at Tarleton State Texans
Q4 14:05 · ESPN+
LiveUpdates as plays come in
4th & 3
at 50 · CARK ball
Q4 14:05
CARK
3 plays, 7 yards, 0:00TAR
Last play. D.Omolo pass complete short right to T.Durham caught at UCA49, for 4 yards to the UCA50 (S.Woods Jr.; A.Woodberry)
Central Arkansas Bears
2-4 · computer pick
28
Live
Q4 14:05
Tarleton State Texans
6-0
35
CARK 8%TAR 92%
Model: CARK 32.96–44.08 TAR · live-adjusted
DraftKingsLiveas of 8:37 PM CT · tap to log
ML
Locked
Spread
Locked
Total
Locked
Model vs market
Our model
DraftKings
Spread
TAR -9.1
TAR -19.5
Total
52.4
61.5
Gap: -10.4 margin, -9.1 total. The projection shown above blends the model with this line.
Backtest 2023–2025 (FBS), 2,629 games, win-probability Brier (lower is better): model v2 0.1762 vs old model 0.1964. No free archive of college closing lines, so we can't benchmark against the market yet.
Advanced analytics
Matchup edge: CARK vs TAR
Computer pick · Spread
CARK +18.5
57%
CARK 32.96–44.08 TAR · CARK by 8.4 pts vs the number
Player stats
The box score has not posted yet.