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PlayPORatLAUnder 3.5NBABKN119MIA1305:06NBACHA93BOS1140.0NBAPHX73SA912:34NBANO71DAL581:50NBACHI85MIL545:56NBADET86MIN724:18MLBMIL1LAD2Bot 6thNCAAFKENN14MOST14Q3 3:29NCAAFWKU10SHSU3HalftimeNHLMTL3WSH314:47NHLDAL0COL112:58MLSPHI1CHI150'MLSSEA0DAL053'MLSSKC0NSH353'MLSVAN0STL048'MLSMIN0COL012'MLSSJ0RSL012'NBADENatLAC10:30 PM EDTMLSATXatLAFC10:30 PM EDTMLSHOUatSD10:30 PM EDTWTAMARatMIA11:00 PM EDTWTADIAatKAR11:00 PM EDTATPSWatHS12:00 AM EDTWTAMAJatIVA12:00 AM EDTWTAGUOatELI12:30 AM EDTWTAHSatKS12:30 AM EDTWTASONatJAS1:30 AM EDTWTAEGatDS2:00 AM EDTATPALEatART2:30 AM EDTWTABMatQY3:00 AM EDTWTAJELatLEY3:30 AM EDTWTANOatSW3:30 AM EDTWTANURatAND4:00 AM EDTWTABTatHM4:30 AM EDTWTAKLatHM5:00 AM EDTWTALAUatLUC5:30 AM EDTATPALEatALE6:00 AM EDTWTAMARatTEO6:00 AM EDTWTABSatDM6:00 AM EDTWTAMATatDAL6:00 AM EDTWTARALatLEY6:00 AM EDTWTABMatGS6:30 AM EDTWTAIGAatASH7:00 AM EDTATPPZatMO7:30 AM EDTWTAJOEatTAM7:30 AM EDTWTAVIKatDOM7:30 AM EDTWTADWatPS7:30 AM EDTWTAFRAatFRA7:30 AM EDTWTABZatCL7:30 AM EDTWTAJANatANN8:30 AM EDTWTAZPatMZ9:00 AM EDTWTACLAatMAT9:00 AM EDTWTAMPatFS9:00 AM EDTWTAREBatANE9:30 AM EDTWTALEAatANO10:30 AM EDTWTAEZatJR10:30 AM EDTWTABIAatANT1:00 PM EDT
Board/NFL
NFLSun, 1:00 PM EDTLucas Oil Stadium

Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts

10/18 - 1:00 PM EDT · Fox

Computer pick · Spread
TEN +7
54%

TEN 18.59–25.66 IND

Grok Expert · T. Pollard Over 1.5 rec

-110
Tennessee Titans
0-5 · L5 · computer pick
58 PF · 109 PA
18.59
Projected
Indianapolis Colts
2-3 · L1
124 PF · 138 PA
25.66
TEN 30%IND 70%

Projected TEN 18.59–25.66 IND

DraftKingstap to log
ML
Spread
Total

The model

How this number was built

TEN 18.59–25.66 IND · Medium confidence

Power index (FPI/BPI) plus shrunk attack/defense, blended with the posted market.

  • Power index
    IND -0.8 vs TEN -6.2 · pred margin +7.1
  • Attack / defense
    IND +1.0 off · TEN -5.6 off, shrunk 45%
  • Home field
    +2.4 pts to IND
  • Record
    IND 2-3 · TEN 0-5
  • Market prior
    Blended 68% toward IND -7 / total 44.5
Full write-up of the model

Season leaders

  • Cam Ward
    Pass 98/155, 896 YDS, 3 TD, 3 INT
  • Tony Pollard
    Rush 68 CAR, 273 YDS, 1 TD
  • Carnell Tate
    Rec 23 REC, 274 YDS
  • Daniel Jones
    Pass 108/176, 1021 YDS, 3 TD, 4 INT
  • Jonathan Taylor
    Rush 101 CAR, 398 YDS, 6 TD
  • Josh Downs
    Rec 20 REC, 249 YDS

Team stats

Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.

TENIND
Points Per Game11.624.8
Total Yards261.8305.0
Yards Passing179.2204.2
Yards Rushing82.6100.8
Points Allowed Per Game21.827.6
Yards Allowed342.6398.2
Pass Yards Allowed228.6268.0
Rush Yards Allowed114.0130.2

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

Grok ExpertComputer pick

T. Pollard Over 1.5 rec

-11062%

Receptions · DraftKings

  • D. Jones anytime TD
    Anytime TD · IND
    -110
    63%
  • J. Taylor anytime TD
    Anytime TD · IND
    -110
    63%
  • J. Downs anytime TD
    Anytime TD · IND
    -110
    63%
  • D. Jones Over 7.5 rush yds
    Rushing yards · IND
    -110
    60%
  • J. Taylor Under 89.5 rush yds
    Rushing yards · IND
    -110
    60%
  • J. Taylor Over 2.5 rec
    Receptions · IND
    -110
    59%
  • T. Pollard Over 8.5 rec yds
    Receiving yards · TEN
    -110
    59%
  • C. Ward Over 12.5 rush yds
    Rushing yards · TEN
    -110
    58%
  • J. Taylor Over 17.5 rec yds
    Receiving yards · IND
    -110
    58%
  • TEN anytime TD
    Anytime TD · TEN
    -110
    57%
  • IND anytime TD
    Anytime TD · IND
    -110
    57%