NCAAFFinalHarold Alfond Sports Stadium

Bryant Bulldogs at Maine Black Bears

Final · FloSports

Final

Bryant Bulldogs

5-2

Final

Maine Black Bears

1-6

BRY 46%ME 54%

Model: BRY 23.14–24.57 ME

How close was our sim?

Pre-game sim locked Oct 16, 5:51 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 3626112884

Winner called · off by 18

Most typical sim

BRY 25 – ME 24

Final

BRY 17 – ME 14

Winner: Bryant (51%)
Spread: ME +1.5 covers (50%)
Total: Over 46.5 (60%)
Score error (both teams)18

Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.

Advanced analytics

Matchup edge: BRY vs ME

The model

How this number was built

BRY 23.14–24.57 ME · Medium confidence

overline-model-v2: opponent-adjusted ratings + matchup features. Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.

Opponent-adjusted ratings (model v2)
Opponent-adjusted (SOS) -5.2 vs -3.9 · model ME 26.8–25.5 BRY
Home field
+3.0 pts to ME
Record
ME 1-6 · BRY 5-2
Market prior
Blended 68% toward ME -1.5 / total 45.5

Full write-up of the model

Line score

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
BRY	7	7	3	0	17
ME	3	0	8	3	14

How the points were scored

FGQ1 9:210–3
Samuel Tremblay 41 Yd Field Goal
TDQ1 7:187–3
Jose Leon 30 Yd pass from Brennan Myer (Nicholas Stoyanovich Kick)
TDQ2 7:3014–3
OJ Ross 3 Yd Run (Nicholas Stoyanovich Kick)
TDQ3 11:4914–11
Rashawn Marshall 11 Yd pass from Caden Drezek (Noah Carpenter Run for Two-Point Conversion)
FGQ3 7:4217–11
Nicholas Stoyanovich 26 Yd Field Goal
FGQ4 9:4617–14
Samuel Tremblay 32 Yd Field Goal

Player stats

Full box — every player, every category.

Passing

BRY	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	adjQBR
B Brennan Myer #9	12/21	157	7.5	1	0	—
Team	12/21	157	7.5	1	0	—

Rushing

BRY	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
OJ Ross #4	11	61	5.5	1	16
K Kendrick Agenor #23	9	45	5.0	0	14
J Jordan Bennett #28	11	30	2.7	0	10
D Deshon Jenkins #27	2	2	1.0	0	2
B Brennan Myer #9	4	-2	-0.5	0	5
Team	3	-6	-2.0	0	0
Team	40	130	3.3	1	16

Receiving

BRY	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
Jose Leon #11	2	63	31.5	1	33
S Shamar Fowles #6	5	43	8.6	0	16
M Maximus Nosler #88	2	34	17.0	0	19
K Kendrick Agenor #23	1	9	9.0	0	9
Sean Wilson Jr. #2	1	4	4.0	0	4
K Koby Keenan #83	1	4	4.0	0	4
Team	12	157	13.1	1	33

Fumbles

BRY	FUM	LOST	REC
D Drake Lusk #41	0	0	2
L Lucian DePino #93	0	0	1
Team	0	0	3

Defense

BRY	TOT	SOLO	SACKS	TFL	PD	QB HUR
D Drake Lusk #41	12	5	1	1	0	0
A Anthony Ottinot #53	8	4	0	2.5	0	0
O Olatunde Mkparu #3	7	2	0	0	2	0
D Dedric Walker #0	6	3	0	0.5	0	0
N Nelson Sparrow #21	6	2	0	0	0	0
T Toby Brown Jr. #56	4	3	1	2	0	0
O Omaris McMiller Jr. #2	3	3	0	0	0	0
Ryan Williams #4	3	2	0	0	0	0
Gideon Bedada #7	3	1	0	0	0	0
L Lucian DePino #93	3	1	0	0	0	0
Amare Townsend #20	2	2	0	0	0	0
D Dixon Hudson #6	2	1	0	0	0	0
J Javian Jones #13	2	1	0	0	0	1
G Gustavo Bravo #98	2	0	0	0	0	0
A Anthony Schettino #19	2	0	0	0.5	0	0
T Tatum McBall #54	2	0	0	0.5	0	0
A Alfredo Perez #19	1	1	0	0	0	0
M Maximus Nosler #88	1	1	0	0	0	0
T Tyler Scott #18	1	1	0	0	0	0
J Jahmir Campfield #31	1	1	0	0	0	0
Duke Bradley #5	1	0	0	0	0	0
D Daniel Aiyeola #9	1	0	0	0	0	0
T Tre Gary #52	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team	74	34	2	7	2	1

Kick returns

BRY	NO	YDS	AVG	LONG	TD
K Keylijah Williams #1	1	18	18.0	18	0
Team	1	18	18.0	18	0

Punt returns

BRY	NO	YDS	AVG	LONG	TD
A Alfredo Perez #19	1	15	15.0	15	0
Team	1	15	15.0	15	0

Kicking

BRY	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
N Nicholas Stoyanovich #22	1/1	100.0	26	2/2	5
Team	1/1	100.0	26	2/2	5

Punting

BRY	NO	YDS	AVG	In 20	LONG
K Kristian Karoglan #36	4	200	50.0	2	64
Team	1	20	20.0	0	20
Team	5	220	44.0	2	64

Team stats

Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.

	BRY	ME
1st Downs	15	20
3rd down efficiency	4-13	6-16
4th down efficiency	0-2	1-2
Total Yards	287	352
Passing	157	234
Comp/Att	12/21	18/34
Yards per pass	7.5	6.9
Rushing	130	118
Rushing Attempts	40	37
Yards per rush	3.3	3.2
Penalties	5-45	8-62
Turnovers	0	3
Fumbles lost	0	3
Interceptions thrown	0	0
Possession	29:50	30:10

Computer pick · Total

Over 46.5

55%

BRY 23.14–24.57 ME

Miss

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.