NFLSun, 4:05 PM EDTSoFi Stadium

Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams

10/18 - 4:05 PM EDT · Fox

Computer pick · Spread
ARI +12.5
55%

ARI 19.62–31.70 LAR

Grok Expert · M. Stafford Under 283.5 pass yds

-110
Arizona Cardinals
1-4 · L4 · computer pick
108 PF · 162 PA
19.62
Projected
Los Angeles Rams
2-3 · L1
119 PF · 120 PA
31.70
ARI 19%LAR 81%

Projected ARI 19.62–31.70 LAR

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ML
Spread
Total

The model

How this number was built

ARI 19.62–31.70 LAR · Medium confidence

Power index (FPI/BPI) plus shrunk attack/defense, blended with the posted market.

  • Power index
    LAR +4.5 vs ARI -5.9 · pred margin +12.1
  • Attack / defense
    LAR +0.5 off · ARI -0.8 off, shrunk 45%
  • Home field
    +2.4 pts to LAR
  • Record
    LAR 2-3 · ARI 1-4
  • Market prior
    Blended 68% toward LAR -12.5 / total 51.5
Full write-up of the model

Season leaders

  • Jacoby Brissett
    Pass 132/199, 1110 YDS, 9 TD, 5 INT
  • Jeremiyah Love
    Rush 67 CAR, 245 YDS, 1 TD
  • Trey McBride
    Rec 42 REC, 308 YDS, 3 TD
  • Matthew Stafford
    Pass 139/216, 1572 YDS, 9 TD, 6 INT
  • Kyren Williams
    Rush 70 CAR, 343 YDS, 4 TD
  • Davante Adams
    Rec 27 REC, 441 YDS, 4 TD

Team stats

Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.

ARILAR
Points Per Game21.623.8
Total Yards315.0433.8
Yards Passing223.4317.0
Yards Rushing91.6116.8
Points Allowed Per Game32.424.0
Yards Allowed379.0293.4
Pass Yards Allowed252.4165.0
Rush Yards Allowed126.6128.4

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

Grok ExpertComputer pick

M. Stafford Under 283.5 pass yds

-11065%

Passing yards · DraftKings

  • M. Stafford anytime TD
    Anytime TD · LAR
    -110
    70%
  • D. Adams anytime TD
    Anytime TD · LAR
    -110
    70%
  • K. Williams anytime TD
    Anytime TD · LAR
    -110
    70%
  • T. McBride Under 7.5 rec
    Receptions · ARI
    -110
    65%
  • LAR anytime TD
    Anytime TD · LAR
    -110
    63%
  • ARI anytime TD
    Anytime TD · ARI
    -110
    63%
  • K. Williams Over 23.5 rec yds
    Receiving yards · LAR
    -110
    58%
  • J. Brissett Under 38.5 att
    Pass attempts · ARI
    -110
    56%
  • J. Love Over 58.5 rush+rec yds
    Rush + rec yards · ARI
    -110
    56%
  • T. McBride Under 64.5 rec yds
    Receiving yards · ARI
    -110
    56%
  • J. Brissett Under 242.5 pass yds
    Passing yards · ARI
    -110
    55%