St. Louis CITY SC at Minnesota United FC
FT · Apple TV
Model: STL 1.63–1.88 MIN
How close was our sim?
Pre-game sim locked Oct 16, 5:58 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 1695619484
- Winner: St. Louis (49%)
- Total: Under 3.5 (52%)
- Score error (both teams)1
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
STL 1.63–1.88 MIN · Medium confidence
Independent Poisson scorelines from shrunk attack/defense ratings, blended with the market.
- Attack / defenseMIN +0.1 off · STL +0.4 off, shrunk 78%
- Home field+0.3 goals to MIN
- RecordMIN 8-10-12 · STL 14-9-7
- Market priorBlended 75% toward MIN +130 / total 3.5
Line score
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| STL | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| MIN | 0 | 3 | 3 |
How the goals went in
- GOAL1H 4'
Goal! Minnesota United FC 0, St. Louis City SC 1. Rafael Navarro (St. Louis City SC) left footed shot from the left side of the box to the top left corner.
- GOAL1H 10'
Goal! Minnesota United FC 0, St. Louis City SC 2. Jeong Sang-Bin (St. Louis City SC) right footed shot from the centre of the box to the centre of the goal. Assisted by Rafael Navarro following a fast break.
- GOAL2H 49'
Goal! Minnesota United FC 1, St. Louis City SC 2. Aziel Jackson (Minnesota United FC) right footed shot from very close range to the bottom right corner. Assisted by Kelvin Yeboah with a cross.
- GOAL2H 68'
Goal! Minnesota United FC 2, St. Louis City SC 2. Kelvin Yeboah (Minnesota United FC) right footed shot from the centre of the box to the bottom left corner. Assisted by Mauricio González with a cross.
- GOAL2H 86'
Goal! Minnesota United FC 3, St. Louis City SC 2. Marcus Caldeira (Minnesota United FC) left footed shot from the centre of the box to the centre of the goal. Assisted by Joaquín Pereyra following a fast break.
Game leaders
- Rafael Navarrototalshots 4
Timo BaumgartlPass 66- Fallou Falldefensiveinterventions 15
Roman BürkiSV 7
- Kelvin Yeboahtotalshots 6
Wil TrappPass 35- Jefferson Díazdefensiveinterventions 14
Drake CallenderSV 4
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| STL | MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| Fouls | 15 | 14 |
| Yellow Cards | 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 |
| Offsides | 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks | 7 | 6 |
| Saves | 7 | 4 |
| Possession | 55.1 | 44.9 |
| SHOTS | 15 | 27 |
| ON GOAL | 6 | 11 |
| On Target % | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Penalty Goals | 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Kicks Taken | 0 | 0 |
| Accurate Passes | 344 | 266 |
| Passes | 419 | 338 |
| Pass Completion % | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Accurate Crosses | 5 | 6 |
| Crosses | 15 | 18 |
| Cross % | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Long Balls | 47 | 43 |
| Accurate Long Balls | 23 | 14 |
| Long Balls % | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Blocked Shots | 4 | 8 |
| Effective Tackles | 13 | 9 |
| Tackles | 20 | 11 |
| Tackle % | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| Interceptions | 5 | 5 |
| Effective Clearances | 33 | 18 |
| Clearances | 33 | 18 |
STL 1.63–1.88 MIN
MissPlayer props
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