Charlotte FC at Philadelphia Union
FT · Apple TV
Model: CLT 1.18–2.42 PHI
How close was our sim?
Pre-game sim locked Oct 16, 5:58 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 1745952341
- Winner: Philadelphia (49%)
- Total: Over 3.5 (54%)
- Score error (both teams)0
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
CLT 1.18–2.42 PHI · Medium confidence
Independent Poisson scorelines from shrunk attack/defense ratings, blended with the market.
- Attack / defensePHI +0.5 off · CLT +0.3 off, shrunk 78%
- Home field+0.3 goals to PHI
- RecordPHI 13-7-10 · CLT 13-8-9
- Market priorBlended 75% toward PHI -235 / total 3.5
Line score
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLT | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| PHI | 1 | 1 | 2 |
How the goals went in
- GOAL1H 24'
Goal! Philadelphia Union 1, Charlotte FC 0. Milan Iloski (Philadelphia Union) converts the penalty with a right footed shot to the bottom left corner.
- GOAL2H 48'
Goal! Philadelphia Union 1, Charlotte FC 1. Rodolfo Aloko (Charlotte FC) left footed shot from the centre of the box to the bottom right corner. Assisted by Idan Toklomati.
- GOAL2H 62'
Goal! Philadelphia Union 1, Charlotte FC 2. Idan Toklomati (Charlotte FC) header from the right side of the six yard box to the bottom left corner. Assisted by David Schnegg with a cross.Goal confirmed following VAR Review.
- GOAL2H 73'
Goal! Philadelphia Union 2, Charlotte FC 2. Bruno Damiani (Philadelphia Union) left footed shot from the centre of the box to the top left corner. Assisted by Danley Jean Jacques.
Game leaders
- Allan Saint-Maximintotalshots 4
- Morrison AgyemangPass 54
Henry Kesslerdefensiveinterventions 14
Kristijan KahlinaSV 3
- Cavan Sullivantotalshots 5
- Jovan LukicPass 26
- Neil Pierredefensiveinterventions 22
Andre BlakeSV 1
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| CLT | PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| Fouls | 15 | 18 |
| Yellow Cards | 3 | 0 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 |
| Offsides | 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks | 1 | 7 |
| Saves | 3 | 1 |
| Possession | 60.2 | 39.8 |
| SHOTS | 13 | 21 |
| ON GOAL | 3 | 5 |
| On Target % | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Penalty Goals | 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Kicks Taken | 0 | 1 |
| Accurate Passes | 382 | 224 |
| Passes | 470 | 300 |
| Pass Completion % | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| Accurate Crosses | 3 | 3 |
| Crosses | 15 | 22 |
| Cross % | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| Long Balls | 61 | 49 |
| Accurate Long Balls | 28 | 19 |
| Long Balls % | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| Blocked Shots | 4 | 7 |
| Effective Tackles | 6 | 15 |
| Tackles | 10 | 18 |
| Tackle % | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Interceptions | 10 | 16 |
| Effective Clearances | 32 | 45 |
| Clearances | 32 | 45 |
CLT 1.18–2.42 PHI
HitPlayer props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.