NBAFri 9:30 PM CTcrypto.com Arena
Denver Nuggets at Los Angeles Lakers
10/16 - 10:30 PM EDT · ESPN
Computer pick · Total
Under 233.5
58%
DEN 112.36–116.65 LAL
Denver Nuggets
2-2 · L1
457 PF · 465 PA
112.36
Projected
Los Angeles Lakers
2-2 · L1
428 PF · 438 PA
116.65
DEN 36%LAL 64%
Projected DEN 112.36–116.65 LAL
DraftKingstap to log
ML
Spread
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The model
How this number was built
DEN 112.36–116.65 LAL · Medium confidence
Power index (FPI/BPI) plus shrunk attack/defense, blended with the posted market.
- Power indexLAL +1.7 vs DEN +3.2 · pred margin +4.3
- Attack / defenseLAL -1.4 off · DEN +0.6 off, shrunk 29%
- Home field+2.8 pts to LAL
- RecordLAL 2-2 · DEN 2-2
- Market priorBlended 69% toward LAL -5.5 / total 229.5
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| DEN | LAL | |
|---|---|---|
| STRK | L1 | L1 |
| OPP PPG | 116.3 | 109.5 |
| L10 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.