NBAFri 7:00 PM CTAmerican Airlines Center
Atlanta Hawks at Dallas Mavericks
10/16 - 8:00 PM EDT
Computer pick · Total
Under 232.5
56%
ATL 116.58–117.65 DAL
Atlanta Hawks
3-1 · W3
478 PF · 475 PA
116.58
Projected
Dallas Mavericks
1-2 · L1
346 PF · 351 PA
117.65
ATL 46%DAL 54%
Projected ATL 116.58–117.65 DAL
DraftKingstap to log
ML
Spread
Total
The model
How this number was built
ATL 116.58–117.65 DAL · Medium confidence
Power index (FPI/BPI) plus shrunk attack/defense, blended with the posted market.
- Power indexDAL -2.8 vs ATL +0.6 · pred margin +1.1
- Attack / defenseDAL +0.2 off · ATL +3.2 off, shrunk 23%
- Home field+2.8 pts to DAL
- RecordDAL 1-2 · ATL 3-1
- Market priorBlended 69% toward DAL -1.5 / total 234.5
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.