NBAFri 6:00 PM CTKia Center
Miami Heat at Orlando Magic
10/16 - 7:00 PM EDT
Computer pick · Total
Under 233.5
56%
MIA 114.57–121.04 ORL
Miami Heat
3-1 · W1
525 PF · 476 PA
114.57
Projected
Orlando Magic
2-1 · W1
359 PF · 353 PA
121.04
MIA 29%ORL 71%
Projected MIA 114.57–121.04 ORL
DraftKingstap to log
ML
Spread
Total
The model
How this number was built
MIA 114.57–121.04 ORL · Medium confidence
Power index (FPI/BPI) plus shrunk attack/defense, blended with the posted market.
- Power indexORL +0.8 vs MIA +1.7 · pred margin +6.5
- Attack / defenseORL +2.3 off · MIA +6.6 off, shrunk 23%
- Home field+2.8 pts to ORL
- RecordORL 2-1 · MIA 3-1
- Market priorBlended 83% toward ORL -7.5 / total 235.5
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| MIA | ORL | |
|---|---|---|
| STRK | W1 | W1 |
| OPP PPG | 119.0 | 117.7 |
| L10 | 3-1 | 2-1 |
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.