Minnesota Timberwolves at Chicago Bulls
Final
Last shot · Drew Timme makes 26-foot three point jumper (Zyon Pullin assists)
Model: MIN 115.10–119.49 CHI
How close was our sim?
Pre-game sim locked Oct 16, 5:51 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 3889018695
- Winner: Bulls (65%)
- Spread: MIN +5.5 covers (52%)
- Total: Under 234.5 (64%)
- Score error (both teams)16
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
Advanced analytics
Matchup edge: MIN vs CHI
The model
How this number was built
MIN 115.10–119.49 CHI · Medium confidence
overline-model-v2: opponent-adjusted ratings + matchup features. Power index (FPI/BPI) plus shrunk attack/defense, blended with the posted market.
- Power indexCHI -4.9 vs MIN +3.1 · pred margin +4.4
- Opponent-adjusted ratings (model v2)Adj. net -4.4 vs +1.5 · model CHI 115.9–120.2 MIN
- Home field+2.8 pts to CHI
- RecordCHI 4-2 · MIN 3-4
- Market priorBlended 82% toward CHI -6.5 / total 234.5
Line score
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 28 | 32 | 28 | 28 | 116 |
| CHI | 33 | 34 | 31 | 35 | 133 |
Scoring plays
SCORE4th Quarter 3:51105–120Orlando Robinson makes driving dunk (Drew Peterson assists)
- SCORE4th Quarter 3:23105–122
Drew Peterson makes driving layup (Jordan Hawkins assists)
- FT4th Quarter 2:54105–123
Orlando Robinson makes free throw 1 of 2
- JUMP SHOT4th Quarter 2:20105–126
Jordan Hawkins makes 26-foot three point jumper (Drew Peterson assists)
SCORE4th Quarter 2:02107–126Drew Timme makes driving layup
- SCORE4th Quarter 1:35109–126
Antonio Reeves makes driving layup (Zyon Pullin assists)
- SCORE4th Quarter 1:24109–128
Orlando Robinson makes dunk (Jaylin Sellers assists)
- SCORE4th Quarter 1:08111–128
Isaiah Evans makes driving layup (Drew Timme assists)
- SCORE4th Quarter 56.9111–130
Drew Peterson makes driving layup
- SCORE4th Quarter 52.3113–130
KJ Martin makes driving layup (Zyon Pullin assists)
- JUMP SHOT4th Quarter 36.3113–133
Drew Peterson makes 29-foot three point jumper (Orlando Robinson assists)
- JUMP SHOT4th Quarter 24.8116–133
Drew Timme makes 26-foot three point jumper (Zyon Pullin assists)
Player stats
Full box — every player, every category.
| MIN | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | TO | STL | BLK | OREB | DREB | PF | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 C. Williams F · #9 | 27 | 15 | 6-11 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -7 |
 J. Beringer F · #19 | 25 | 11 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 3 | -5 |
 J. Clark G · #7 | 29 | 18 | 6-12 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | -5 |
 T. Shannon Jr. G · #4 | 16 | 6 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 |
 Z. Pullin G · #15 | 38 | 14 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 8-10 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -9 |
 D. Timme F · #17 | 27 | 18 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | -8 |
 K. Martin F · #00 | 22 | 9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -21 |
N N. Omier F · #23 | 10 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -4 |
 I. Evans F · #33 | 30 | 21 | 6-13 | 5-10 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -10 |
 A. Reeves G · #12 | 17 | 4 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -13 |
 T. Lyles F · #41 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. McDaniels F · #3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 J. Kuminga F · #24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 E. Freeman F · #25 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 R. Gobert C · #27 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 R. Zikarsky C · #44 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 D. DiVincenzo G · #0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 A. Dosunmu G · #13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 L. Ball G · #1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 B. Hyland G · #8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
 A. Edwards G · #5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team | 116 | 39-87 | 10-34 | 28-40 | 37 | 23 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 25 | 22 |
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| MIN | CHI | |
|---|---|---|
| FG | 39-87 | 50-97 |
| FG% | 45 | 52 |
| 3PT | 10-34 | 12-36 |
| 3P% | 29 | 33 |
| FT | 28-40 | 21-25 |
| FT% | 70 | 84 |
| REB | 37 | 54 |
| OR | 12 | 17 |
| DR | 25 | 37 |
| AST | 23 | 34 |
| STL | 6 | 8 |
| BLK | 2 | 10 |
| TO | 11 | 15 |
| TTO | 0 | 2 |
| ToTO | 11 | 17 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| TECH | 0 | 0 |
| FLAG | 0 | 0 |
| Points Conceded Off Turnovers | 23 | 22 |
| FBPs | 10 | 16 |
| PIP | 56 | 76 |
| PF | 22 | 30 |
| LL | 4 | 21 |
| LC | 6 | 6 |
| LPCT | 4 | 88 |
MIN 115.07–119.52 CHI
MissPlayer props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.