NCAAFFinalGreene Stadium

Morehouse College Maroon Tigers at Howard Bison

Final · ESPN+

Final

Morehouse College Maroon Tigers

3-5

Final

Howard Bison

3-4

MOR 43%HOW 57%

Model: MOR 24.99–27.96 HOW

How close was our sim?

Pre-game sim locked Oct 16, 5:51 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 4293756807

Winner called · off by 11

Most typical sim

MOR 25 – HOW 28

Final

MOR 17 – HOW 31

Winner: Howard (57%)
Score error (both teams)11

Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.

Advanced analytics

Matchup edge: MOR vs HOW

The model

How this number was built

MOR 24.99–27.96 HOW · Low confidence

Gaussian scoring from shrunk offensive/defensive ratings plus a market prior.

Attack / defense
HOW -0.3 off · MOR -0.1 off, shrunk 55%
Home field
+3.0 pts to HOW
Record
HOW 3-4 · MOR 3-5

Full write-up of the model

Line score

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
MOR	0	10	7	0	17
HOW	3	7	7	14	31

How the points were scored

FGQ1 9:300–3
Matt Conord 34 Yd Field Goal
TDQ2 13:217–3
Miles Scott 9 Yd Run (Davis Rowe Kick)
TDQ2 6:297–10
Ja'Shawn Scroggins 16 Yd Run (Matt Conord Kick)
FGQ2 0:0010–10
Cyar DeBose 34 Yd Field Goal
TDQ3 11:0110–17
Eden James 61 Yd Run (Matt Conord Kick)
TDQ3 7:3117–17
Noah Rhodes 10 Yd pass from Miles Scott (Davis Rowe Kick)
TDQ4 6:5017–24
Ja'Shawn Scroggins 1 Yd Run (Matt Conord Kick)
TDQ4 0:4817–31
Travis Kerney 7 Yd Run (Matt Conord Kick)

Player stats

Full box — every player, every category.

Passing

MOR	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	adjQBR
M Miles Scott #1	17/44	179	4.1	1	1	—
Team	17/44	179	4.1	1	1	—

Rushing

MOR	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
C Chase DeVaughn #6	15	67	4.5	0	28
D Dylan Brooks #24	2	9	4.5	0	5
M Miles Scott #1	11	6	0.5	1	10
Savion Red #9	3	3	1.0	0	2
A Ayden Williams #26	1	0	0.0	0	0
Team	32	85	2.7	1	28

Receiving

MOR	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG
J Jeremiah Gibson #5	4	84	21.0	0	29
N Noah Rhodes #4	3	57	19.0	1	10
M Major Brice Walker #83	3	20	6.7	0	10
G Gabriel Bivines #84	4	17	4.3	0	7
G Grant Campbell #80	1	4	4.0	0	4
A Ayden Williams #26	1	1	1.0	0	1
Savion Red #9	1	-4	-4.0	0	0
Team	17	179	10.5	1	29

Fumbles

MOR	FUM	LOST	REC
M Miles Scott #1	2	2	0
M Michael Jackson #16	1	0	0
L LaDainian Hunter	0	0	1
D Davis Rowe #40	0	0	1
M Markevious Yancie #19	0	0	1
Team	3	2	3

Defense

MOR	TOT	SOLO	SACKS	TFL	PD	QB HUR
S Steven Copeland II	11	8	1	1.5	0	0
J Joshua Maye #0	6	4	0	0	0	0
S Stephen Rowser #33	5	3	0	0	0	0
J Jashaud Johnson	5	2	0	0	0	0
S Sean Johnson #2	4	3	0	0	0	0
J Jordan Woods #42	4	3	0	0.5	0	0
I Isaiah Reaves #18	4	1	0	1.5	0	1
M Markevious Yancie #19	3	3	0	0	0	0
D Donovan Moody #8	3	2	0	1	0	0
J Jordan Williams #88	3	1	0	0.5	0	0
Kai Fernandez #25	2	2	0	0	0	0
N Nicholas Lemons #31	2	1	1.5	1.5	0	0
J Joshua Houston #46	2	1	0	0	1	0
Skyler Jordan #82	1	1	0	0	0	0
D David Omene #12	1	1	0	0	0	0
J Joseph Hood #30	1	1	0	0	0	0
A AJ Hubbard #1	1	1	0	0	0	0
G Gold Chyrack Jr. #16	1	0	0	0	0	0
A Anton Evans #45	1	0	0.5	0.5	0	0
Team	60	38	3	7	1	1

Kick returns

MOR	NO	YDS	AVG	LONG	TD
A Ayden Williams #26	2	34	17.0	18	0
Team	2	34	17.0	18	0

Punt returns

MOR	NO	YDS	AVG	LONG	TD
M Michael Jackson #16	1	-2	-2.0	0	0
Team	1	-2	-2.0	0	0

Kicking

MOR	FG	PCT	LONG	XP	PTS
C Cyar DeBose #53	1/1	100.0	34	0/0	3
D Davis Rowe #40	0/0	0.0	0	2/2	2
Team	1/1	100.0	34	2/2	5

Punting

MOR	NO	YDS	AVG	LONG
G Grant Campbell #80	4	111	27.8	33
S Seve Spruill #37	3	80	26.7	31
Team	7	191	27.3	33

Team stats

Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.

	MOR	HOW
1st Downs	16	21
3rd down efficiency	4-16	6-15
4th down efficiency	1-2	2-3
Total Yards	264	329
Passing	179	128
Comp/Att	17/44	17/27
Yards per pass	4.1	4.7
Rushing	85	201
Rushing Attempts	32	40
Yards per rush	2.7	5.0
Penalties	7-68	9-100
Turnovers	3	2
Fumbles lost	2	2
Interceptions thrown	1	0
Possession	28:14	31:46

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.