Brest at Lille
FT · beIn Sports
Model: BRE 1.07–1.57 LILL
How close was our sim?
Pre-game sim locked Oct 16, 11:03 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 1577026366
- Winner: Lille (45%)
- Total: Over 2.5 (53%)
- Score error (both teams)1
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
BRE 1.07–1.57 LILL · Medium confidence
Independent Poisson scorelines from shrunk attack/defense ratings, blended with the market.
- Attack / defenseLILL +0.1 off · BRE +0.3 off, shrunk 43%
- Home field+0.3 goals to LILL
- RecordLILL 4-2-1 · BRE 2-3-2
- Market priorBlended 68% toward LILL +115 / total 2.5
Line score
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BRE | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| LILL | 0 | 1 | 1 |
How the goals went in
- GOAL1H 6'
Goal! Lille 0, Brest 1. Mama Baldé (Brest) with an attempt from the centre of the box to the bottom left corner. Assisted by Gautier Lloris following a corner.
- GOAL2H 64'
Goal! Lille 1, Brest 1. Olivier Giroud (Lille) converts the penalty with a left footed shot to the top left corner.
Game leaders
- Gautier Lloristotalshots 3
- Gautier LlorisPass 32
- Lucas Tousartdefensiveinterventions 15
- Egil SelvikSV 4
- Maxima Goffitotalshots 3
- Nathan NgoyPass 96
- Maxima Goffidefensiveinterventions 9
- Orlando GillSV 1
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| BRE | LILL | |
|---|---|---|
| Fouls | 20 | 12 |
| Yellow Cards | 2 | 1 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 |
| Offsides | 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks | 2 | 5 |
| Saves | 4 | 1 |
| Possession | 32.7 | 67.3 |
| SHOTS | 8 | 17 |
| ON GOAL | 2 | 5 |
| On Target % | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Penalty Goals | 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Kicks Taken | 0 | 1 |
| Accurate Passes | 250 | 588 |
| Passes | 321 | 648 |
| Pass Completion % | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| Accurate Crosses | 2 | 7 |
| Crosses | 3 | 30 |
| Cross % | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| Long Balls | 53 | 36 |
| Accurate Long Balls | 25 | 22 |
| Long Balls % | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| Blocked Shots | 3 | 3 |
| Effective Tackles | 12 | 11 |
| Tackles | 20 | 21 |
| Tackle % | 0.6 | 0.5 |
| Interceptions | 6 | 7 |
| Effective Clearances | 39 | 8 |
| Clearances | 39 | 8 |
BRE 1.07–1.57 LILL
MissPlayer props
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