Lens at Troyes
FT
Model: RCL 1.57–1.10 TRY
How close was our sim?
Pre-game sim locked Oct 16, 11:03 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 1627359223
- Winner: Troyes (45%)
- Total: Under 2.5 (50%)
- Score error (both teams)2
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
RCL 1.57–1.10 TRY · Medium confidence
Independent Poisson scorelines from shrunk attack/defense ratings, blended with the market.
- Attack / defenseTRY -0.3 off · RCL +0.2 off, shrunk 43%
- Home field+0.3 goals to TRY
- RecordTRY 1-1-5 · RCL 3-1-3
- Market priorBlended 68% toward RCL -125 / total 2.5
Line score
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RCL | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| TRY | 1 | 0 | 1 |
How the goals went in
- OWN GOAL1H 13'
Own Goal by Adrien Monfray, Troyes. Troyes 0, Lens 1.
- GOAL1H 26'
Goal! Troyes 1, Lens 1. Timothé Nkada (Troyes) left footed shot from the left side of the six yard box to the bottom left corner.
- GOAL1H 45'+2'
Goal! Troyes 1, Lens 2. Odsonne Édouard (Lens) right footed shot from the centre of the box to the centre of the goal. Assisted by Florian Thauvin with a cross following a fast break.
- GOAL2H 55'
Goal! Troyes 1, Lens 3. Ruben Aguilar (Lens) header from the right side of the six yard box to the centre of the goal. Assisted by Florian Thauvin with a cross following a fast break.
Game leaders
- Ruben Aguilartotalshots 4
- Pierre GaniouPass 66
- Pierre Ganioudefensiveinterventions 11
- Robin RisserSV 4
- Timothé Nkadatotalshots 4
- Adrien MonfrayPass 47
- Dermane Karimdefensiveinterventions 15
- Patrick BeachSV 1
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| RCL | TRY | |
|---|---|---|
| Fouls | 11 | 13 |
| Yellow Cards | 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 |
| Offsides | 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks | 4 | 6 |
| Saves | 4 | 1 |
| Possession | 58.8 | 41.2 |
| SHOTS | 13 | 12 |
| ON GOAL | 3 | 5 |
| On Target % | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Penalty Goals | 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Kicks Taken | 0 | 0 |
| Accurate Passes | 451 | 304 |
| Passes | 540 | 370 |
| Pass Completion % | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Accurate Crosses | 8 | 5 |
| Crosses | 19 | 25 |
| Cross % | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Long Balls | 56 | 49 |
| Accurate Long Balls | 24 | 34 |
| Long Balls % | 0.4 | 0.7 |
| Blocked Shots | 4 | 3 |
| Effective Tackles | 9 | 8 |
| Tackles | 15 | 13 |
| Tackle % | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Interceptions | 8 | 12 |
| Effective Clearances | 15 | 26 |
| Clearances | 15 | 26 |
RCL 1.57–1.10 TRY
MissPlayer props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.