EuropaThu 11:45 AM CTRoazhon Park

Olympiacos at Stade Rennais

TV · Paramount+

Thu 11:45 AM CT

Computer

Under 2.5

83%

OLY 1.02–1.13 REN · 0.4 goals under 2.5

Olympiacos

4-0 · W1

Form DWWWW

1.02

Projected

Stade Rennais

1-3-0 · computer pick

Form DLWWL

1.13

OLY 31%Draw 32%REN 37%

Projected OLY 1.02–1.13 REN

Model vs market

Our model

DraftKings

REN win

53%

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Total

2.15

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Backtest 2025 to Oct 2026 (trained from 2023), 304 games, 1X2 ranked probability score (lower is better): model v2 0.2077 vs old model 0.2335 vs closing line 0.2008. Added Oct 2026: team goal ratings from all domestic leagues plus a cross-league strength offset fitted on European/cup results (ESPN). v1 = home/draw/away base rates. The model alone trails the closing DraftKings line (0.2008), so the published projection is 85% market: 1X2 RPS 0.2004 vs market 0.2008, O/U Brier 0.2428 vs 0.2429.

Olympiacos vs Rennes prediction · Nov 5, 2026

The model projects Olympiacos 1.0, Rennes 1.1. Model win probability: Rennes 37%, Olympiacos 31%, draw 32%.

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