EuropaThu 2:00 PM CTGiulesti Stadium

OFI Crete at Hapoel Be'er

TV · Paramount+

Thu 2:00 PM CT

Computer

Over 2.5

32%

OFI 0.95–1.93 HBE · 0.4 goals over 2.5

OFI Crete

1-3 · L1

Form DLLLD

0.95

Projected

Hapoel Be'er

0-1-3 · L1 · computer pick

Form DLDLW

1.93

OFI 17%Draw 24%HBE 59%

Projected OFI 0.95–1.93 HBE

Model vs market

Our model

DraftKings

HBE win

71%

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Total

2.87

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Backtest 2025 to Oct 2026 (trained from 2023), 304 games, 1X2 ranked probability score (lower is better): model v2 0.2077 vs old model 0.2335 vs closing line 0.2008. Added Oct 2026: team goal ratings from all domestic leagues plus a cross-league strength offset fitted on European/cup results (ESPN). v1 = home/draw/away base rates. The model alone trails the closing DraftKings line (0.2008), so the published projection is 85% market: 1X2 RPS 0.2004 vs market 0.2008, O/U Brier 0.2428 vs 0.2429.

OFI Crete vs Hapoel Be'er prediction · Nov 5, 2026

The model projects OFI Crete 0.9, Hapoel Be'er 1.9. Model win probability: Hapoel Be'er 59%, OFI Crete 17%, draw 24%.

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