EuropaThu 2:00 PM CTCeltic Park

Besiktas at Celtic

TV · Paramount+

Thu 2:00 PM CT

Computer

Under 3.5

58%

BES 1.70–1.60 CEL · 0.2 goals under 3.5

Besiktas

2-2-0 · computer pick

Form DLWWL

1.70

Projected

Celtic

0-4 · L1

Form DWLWL

1.60

BES 40%Draw 25%CEL 35%

Projected BES 1.70–1.60 CEL

Model vs market

Our model

DraftKings

CEL win

48%

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Total

3.30

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Backtest 2025 to Oct 2026 (trained from 2023), 304 games, 1X2 ranked probability score (lower is better): model v2 0.2077 vs old model 0.2335 vs closing line 0.2008. Added Oct 2026: team goal ratings from all domestic leagues plus a cross-league strength offset fitted on European/cup results (ESPN). v1 = home/draw/away base rates. The model alone trails the closing DraftKings line (0.2008), so the published projection is 85% market: 1X2 RPS 0.2004 vs market 0.2008, O/U Brier 0.2428 vs 0.2429.

Besiktas vs Celtic prediction · Nov 5, 2026

The model projects Besiktas 1.7, Celtic 1.6. Model win probability: Celtic 35%, Besiktas 40%, draw 25%.

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