Genoa at AS Roma
FT · Paramount+
Model: GEN 0.93–1.62 ROMA
How close was our sim?
Pre-game sim locked Oct 16, 11:03 PM CT · 10,000 sims · seed 1571558198
- Winner: AS Roma (45%)
- Total: Under 2.5 (51%)
- Score error (both teams)2
Final from ESPN final. Sims are locked before start and never edited.
The model
How this number was built
GEN 0.93–1.62 ROMA · Medium confidence
Independent Poisson scorelines from shrunk attack/defense ratings, blended with the market.
- Attack / defenseROMA +0.5 off · GEN -0.2 off, shrunk 43%
- Home field+0.3 goals to ROMA
- RecordROMA 5-2-0 · GEN 1-1-5
- Market priorBlended 82% toward ROMA -180 / total 2.5
Line score
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GEN | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| ROMA | 0 | 2 | 2 |
How the goals went in
- GOAL2H 50'
Goal! Roma 1, Genoa 0. Santiago Castro (Roma) right footed shot from the centre of the box to the top left corner following a corner.
- GOAL2H 68'
Goal! Roma 2, Genoa 0. Emanuele Lulli (Roma) right footed shot from the right side of the six yard box to the bottom right corner.
Game leaders
- Milutin Osmajictotalshots 4
- Johan VásquezPass 37
- Leo Østigarddefensiveinterventions 13
Justin BijlowSV 3
- Santiago Castrototalshots 4
- Niccolò PisilliPass 61
- Leonardo Balerdidefensiveinterventions 17
- Pierluigi GolliniSV 1
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| GEN | ROMA | |
|---|---|---|
| Fouls | 7 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards | 3 | 2 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 |
| Offsides | 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks | 3 | 5 |
| Saves | 3 | 1 |
| Possession | 34.5 | 65.5 |
| SHOTS | 9 | 15 |
| ON GOAL | 1 | 5 |
| On Target % | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| Penalty Goals | 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Kicks Taken | 0 | 0 |
| Accurate Passes | 220 | 500 |
| Passes | 323 | 623 |
| Pass Completion % | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| Accurate Crosses | 3 | 6 |
| Crosses | 12 | 13 |
| Cross % | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Long Balls | 83 | 57 |
| Accurate Long Balls | 32 | 25 |
| Long Balls % | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Blocked Shots | 3 | 5 |
| Effective Tackles | 9 | 9 |
| Tackles | 18 | 11 |
| Tackle % | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| Interceptions | 12 | 6 |
| Effective Clearances | 15 | 36 |
| Clearances | 15 | 36 |
GEN 0.93–1.62 ROMA
HitPlayer props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.