NationsThu, 2:45 PM ESTAir Albania Stadium

Finland at Albania

11/12 - 2:45 PM EST

Finland
2-1-1 · computer pick
Form DWDWL · 9 PF · 2 PA
1.44
Projected
Albania
3-0-1
Form DLWWL · 8 PF · 3 PA
1.42
FIN 38%Draw 25%ALB 37%

Projected FIN 1.44–1.42 ALB · most likely 1–1

The model

How this number was built

FIN 1.44–1.42 ALB · Low confidence

Independent Poisson scorelines from shrunk attack/defense ratings, blended with the market.

  • Attack / defense
    ALB +0.4 off · FIN +0.5 off, shrunk 50%
  • Home field
    +0.2 goals to ALB
  • Record
    ALB 3-0-1 · FIN 2-1-1
Full write-up of the model

Season leaders

  • Leo Walta
    goals 4
  • Leo Walta
    goalsleaders 4
  • Kristjan Asllani
    goals 3
  • Kristjan Asllani
    goalsleaders 3

Team stats

Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.

FINALB
Goal Difference2811
Total Goals3014
Assists43
Goals Against23

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.