MLBBot 4thDodger Stadium

Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Dodgers

Bot 4th · FS1

Milwaukee Brewers

103-59 · W5

832 PF · 618 PA

Live

Bot 4th

Los Angeles Dodgers

100-62 · W3

801 PF · 600 PA

MIL 56%LAD 44%

Model: MIL 3.00–2.65 LAD · live-adjusted

Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles

Clear · 79° · 4 mph

Pitching R. Gasser·Batting A. Pages

DraftKingsLive

MIL -113

LAD -114

Spread

MIL -1.5 +179

LAD +1.5 -240

Total

Over 5.5 -105

Under 5.5 -124

The model

How this number was built

MIL 3.00–2.65 LAD · Medium confidence

Independent Poisson scorelines from shrunk attack/defense ratings, blended with the market.

Attack / defense
LAD +0.6 off · MIL +0.7 off, shrunk 88%
Home field
+0.1 runs to LAD
Record
LAD 100-62 · MIL 103-59
Market prior
Blended 70% toward LAD -175 / total 7
Live residual
61% of the expected runs still to be scored

Full write-up of the model

Computer pick · Total

Over 7.5

53%

MIL 3.00–2.65 LAD · 1.9 runs under 7.5

Live stats

Prop R. Gasser · MIL
3 hits allowed · under 3.5
J. Chourio · MIL
1-2 H-AB · 2 AB
M. Betts · LAD
1-2 H-AB · 2 AB
B. Snell · LAD
4.0 IP · 2 H
Andy Pages · LAD
BATTING · 0-1 H-AB · 1 AB
Cooper Pratt · MIL
BATTING · 1-1 H-AB · 1 AB · 1 H

Grok Expert · R. Gasser Under 3.5 hits allowed

-115

LiveBot 4thUpdates as plays come in

Bot 4th

1–2

1 out · Bases empty

A. Pages vs R. Gasser

Last play. Foul Ball

Line score

	1	2	3	4	R	H	E
MIL	1	0	0	0	1	2	0
LAD	0	0	0	0	0	3	0

How the runs scored

HRTop 1st1–0
Chourio homered to right center (391 feet).

Player stats

Full box — every player, every category.

Live

Batting

MIL	H-AB	AB	R	H	RBI	HR	BB	K	#P	AVG	OBP	SLG
J. Chourio LF	1-2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	2	.222	.267	.444
B. Turang 2B	0-2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	7	.217	.357	.391
W. Contreras C	0-2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	7	.360	.448	.720
A. Vaughn 1B	0-2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	10	.286	.375	.429
J. Bauers 1B	0-2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	8	.238	.429	.238
G. Mitchell CF	0-1	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	7	.174	.296	.261
C. Pratt SS	1-1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	4	.318	.318	.364
L. Lara RF	0-1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	.143	.250	.143
J. Ortiz SS	0-1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	5	.071	.071	.071
Team	2-14	14	1	2	1	1	1	8	54

Pitching

MIL	IP	H	R	ER	BB	K	HR	PC-ST	ERA	PC
R. Gasser SP	3.1	3	0	0	0	1	0	48-32	1.23	48
Team	3.1	3	0	0	0	1	0	48-32		48

Team stats

Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.

	MIL	LAD
Batting
R	1	0
H	2	3
RBI	1	0
HR	1	0
BB	1	0
K	8	1
AB	14	13
AVG	.143	.231
OBP	.200	.231
SLG	.357	.231
OPS	.557	.462
LOB	4	8
XBH	1	0
PA	15	13
P	54	48
TB	5	3
Pitching
IP	3.1	4.0
H	3	2
R	0	1
ER	0	1
BB	0	1
K	1	8
HR	0	1
P	48	54
S	32	36
WHIP	0.90	0.75
ERA	0.00	2.25
TBF	13	15
Fielding
E	0	0
A	1	1
PO	10	12

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.