MLSFinalBMO Field

Orlando City SC at Toronto FC

FT · Apple TV

Orlando City SC
11-5-13
Form DWLLL · 54 PF · 69 PA
3
Final
Toronto FC
7-12-10
Form DWLLL · 44 PF · 55 PA
3
ORL 31%Draw 21%TOR 48%

Model: ORL 1.68–2.14 TOR

The model

How this number was built

ORL 1.68–2.14 TOR · Medium confidence

Independent Poisson scorelines from shrunk attack/defense ratings, blended with the market.

  • Attack / defense
    TOR +0.1 off · ORL +0.3 off, shrunk 78%
  • Home field
    +0.3 goals to TOR
  • Record
    TOR 7-12-10 · ORL 11-5-13
  • Market prior
    Blended 61% toward TOR +115 / total 3.5
Full write-up of the model

Line score

1H2HT
ORL123
TOR123

How the goals went in

  • GOAL1H 26'

    Goal! Toronto FC 1, Orlando City SC 0. Lewis Morgan (Toronto FC) header from the centre of the box to the bottom right corner. Assisted by Theo Corbeanu with a cross.

  • GOAL1H 45'+1'

    Goal! Toronto FC 1, Orlando City SC 1. Martín Ojeda (Orlando City SC) converts the penalty with a left footed shot to the bottom left corner.

  • GOAL2H 49'

    Goal! Toronto FC 2, Orlando City SC 1. Theo Corbeanu (Toronto FC) right footed shot from the right side of the six yard box to the bottom right corner. Assisted by Dániel Sallói.

  • GOAL2H 76'

    Goal! Toronto FC 2, Orlando City SC 2. Antoine Griezmann (Orlando City SC) left footed shot from the centre of the box to the bottom left corner. Assisted by Iago Teodoro with a headed pass following a set piece situation.Goal confirmed following VAR Review.

  • GOAL2H 83'

    Goal! Toronto FC 2, Orlando City SC 3. Daryl Dike (Orlando City SC) right footed shot from the centre of the box to the top right corner. Assisted by Iván Angulo.

  • GOAL2H 89'

    Goal! Toronto FC 3, Orlando City SC 3. Matheus Pereira (Toronto FC) right footed shot from the centre of the box to the bottom left corner.

Game leaders

  • Vinícius Nogueira
    totalshots 2
  • Iago Teodoro
    Pass 60
  • David Brekalo
    defensiveinterventions 15
  • Maxime Crépeau
    SV 4
  • Josh Sargent
    totalshots 3
  • Zane Monlouis
    Pass 30
  • Matheus Pereira
    defensiveinterventions 12
  • Luka Gavran
    SV 1

Team stats

Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.

ORLTOR
Fouls1217
Yellow Cards13
Red Cards00
Offsides13
Corner Kicks55
Saves41
Possession62.637.4
SHOTS1416
ON GOAL47
On Target %0.30.4
Penalty Goals00
Penalty Kicks Taken10
Accurate Passes427213
Passes490281
Pass Completion %0.90.8
Accurate Crosses28
Crosses1524
Cross %0.10.3
Long Balls4660
Accurate Long Balls2423
Long Balls %0.50.4
Blocked Shots41
Effective Tackles87
Tackles913
Tackle %0.90.5
Interceptions910
Effective Clearances2523
Clearances2523
Computer pick · Total
Under 3.5
59%

ORL 1.65–2.11 TOR

Miss

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.

Overline Sports

Projections blend power-index ratings with DraftKings lines. Every game carries a computer pick and a tagged DK prop; closed games are graded against those pre-game leans. Statistical estimates, not betting advice. Live scores, clocks, and team pages from ESPN.

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