MLSFinalTQL Stadium

New England Revolution at FC Cincinnati

FT · Apple TV

New England Revolution
15-4-10
Form DLLWW · 48 PF · 41 PA
3
Final
FC Cincinnati
9-9-10
Form DWLDD · 60 PF · 68 PA
2
NE 35%Draw 21%CIN 44%

Model: NE 1.81–2.05 CIN

The model

How this number was built

NE 1.81–2.05 CIN · Medium confidence

Independent Poisson scorelines from shrunk attack/defense ratings, blended with the market.

  • Attack / defense
    CIN +0.6 off · NE +0.2 off, shrunk 78%
  • Home field
    +0.3 goals to CIN
  • Record
    CIN 9-9-10 · NE 15-4-10
  • Market prior
    Blended 61% toward CIN +120 / total 3.5
Full write-up of the model

Line score

1H2HT
NE213
CIN112

How the goals went in

  • GOAL1H 13'

    Goal! FC Cincinnati 1, New England Revolution 0. Tom Barlow (FC Cincinnati) left footed shot from the left side of the box to the bottom left corner. Assisted by Tyrell Malacia.

  • GOAL1H 21'

    Goal! FC Cincinnati 1, New England Revolution 1. Dor Turgeman (New England Revolution) right footed shot from the centre of the box to the top right corner. Assisted by Peyton Miller.

  • GOAL1H 43'

    Goal! FC Cincinnati 1, New England Revolution 2. Joshua Wynder (New England Revolution) header from the right side of the six yard box to the bottom right corner. Assisted by Carles Gil with a cross following a corner.

  • GOAL2H 51'

    Goal! FC Cincinnati 1, New England Revolution 3. Dor Turgeman (New England Revolution) left footed shot from the left side of the six yard box to the centre of the goal. Assisted by Peyton Miller with a through ball.Goal awarded following VAR Review.

  • GOAL2H 67'

    Goal! FC Cincinnati 2, New England Revolution 3. Kévin Denkey (FC Cincinnati) right footed shot from very close range to the high centre of the goal. Assisted by Tyrell Malacia.

Game leaders

  • Luca Langoni
    totalshots 3
  • Matt Polster
    Pass 52
  • Joshua Wynder
    defensiveinterventions 10
  • Matt Turner
    SV 7
  • Kévin Denkey
    totalshots 4
  • Teenage Hadebe
    Pass 67
  • Teenage Hadebe
    defensiveinterventions 9
  • Evan Louro
    SV 2

Team stats

Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.

NECIN
Fouls78
Yellow Cards13
Red Cards00
Offsides42
Corner Kicks512
Saves72
Possession41.458.6
SHOTS1021
ON GOAL59
On Target %0.50.4
Penalty Goals00
Penalty Kicks Taken00
Accurate Passes325479
Passes383540
Pass Completion %0.80.9
Accurate Crosses24
Crosses1023
Cross %0.20.2
Long Balls5827
Accurate Long Balls2913
Long Balls %0.50.5
Blocked Shots35
Effective Tackles55
Tackles105
Tackle %0.51.0
Interceptions113
Effective Clearances2913
Clearances2913
Computer pick · Total
Under 3.5
59%

NE 1.78–2.05 CIN

Miss

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.

Overline Sports

Projections blend power-index ratings with DraftKings lines. Every game carries a computer pick and a tagged DK prop; closed games are graded against those pre-game leans. Statistical estimates, not betting advice. Live scores, clocks, and team pages from ESPN.

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