Saudi ProFinalAl-Hazm Club Stadium

Al Fayha at Al Hazem

Final

Al Fayha

1-5-5

Form DLLDD · 12 PF · 19 PA

Final

Al Hazem

2-4-5

Form DLLDL · 12 PF · 16 PA

FAY 26%Draw 30%HAZ 44%

Model: FAY 1.02–1.39 HAZ

The model

How this number was built

FAY 1.02–1.39 HAZ · Medium confidence

overline-model-v2: opponent-adjusted ratings + matchup features. Independent Poisson scorelines from shrunk attack/defense ratings, blended with the market.

Opponent-adjusted ratings (model v2)
Goal ratings (shots-on-target adjusted): HAZ att -0.33 / def -0.10 · FAY att -0.35 / def -0.08 · model HAZ 1.2–1.1 FAY
Home field
+0.3 goals to HAZ
Record
HAZ 2-4-5 · FAY 1-5-5
Market prior
Blended 66% toward HAZ +115 / total 2.5

Full write-up of the model

Line score

	1H	2H	T
FAY	1	1	2
HAZ	1	1	2

How the goals went in

GOAL1H 5'
Bonheur Mugisha (Al Hazem) Goal at 5'
GOAL1H 33'
Fashion Sakala (Al Fayha) Goal at 33'
OWN GOAL2H 69'
Sultan Tanker (Al Hazem) Own Goal at 69'
RUN2H 89'
Amir Sayoud (Al Hazem) Penalty - Scored at 89'

Game leaders

Alfa Semedo
totalshots 4
Omar Colley
Pass 44
Ali Al Hussain
defensiveinterventions 7
Orlando Mosquera
SV 5

Amir Sayoud
totalshots 5
Bonheur Mugisha
Pass 59
Sultan Tanker
defensiveinterventions 11
Jindrich Stanek
SV 2

Team stats

Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.

	FAY	HAZ
Fouls	11	14
Yellow Cards	1	1
Red Cards	0	0
Offsides	3	2
Corner Kicks	7	7
Saves	5	2
Possession	50.9	49.1
SHOTS	10	14
ON GOAL	4	7
On Target %	0.4	0.5
Penalty Goals	0	0
Penalty Kicks Taken	0	0
Accurate Passes	342	331
Passes	410	399
Pass Completion %	0.8	0.8
Accurate Crosses	0	0
Crosses	0	0
Cross %	0.0	0.0
Long Balls	0	0
Accurate Long Balls	0	0
Long Balls %	0.0	0.0
Blocked Shots	5	4
Effective Tackles	12	16
Tackles	21	20
Tackle %	0.6	0.8
Interceptions	0	0
Effective Clearances	0	0
Clearances	23	25

Player props

The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.

DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.

Al Fayha vs Al Hazem pick result · Oct 22, 2026

Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.

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