Al Shabab at Al Fateh
FT
Model: SHA 1.50–1.11 FAT
The model
How this number was built
SHA 1.50–1.11 FAT · Medium confidence
overline-model-v2: opponent-adjusted ratings + matchup features. Independent Poisson scorelines from shrunk attack/defense ratings, blended with the market.
- Opponent-adjusted ratings (model v2)Goal ratings (shots-on-target adjusted): FAT att -0.23 / def -0.17 · SHA att -0.08 / def -0.08 · model FAT 1.3–1.5 SHA
- Home field+0.3 goals to FAT
- RecordFAT 1-3-7 · SHA 2-5-3
- Market priorBlended 66% toward SHA +120 / total 2.5
Line score
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SHA | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| FAT | 1 | 0 | 1 |
How the goals went in
- GOAL1H 17'
Ricardo Mathias (Al Shabab) Goal at 17'
- GOAL1H 31'
Ali Al-Bulayhi (Al Shabab) Goal at 31'
- GOAL1H 40'
Lukás Haraslín (Al Fateh) Goal at 40'
- GOAL2H 54'
Ali Al-Bulayhi (Al Shabab) Goal at 54'
Game leaders
- Ricardo Mathiastotalshots 5
- Josh BrownhillPass 59
- Tin Jedvajdefensiveinterventions 6
- Mory DiawSV 2
- Ali Al-Hassantotalshots 3
- Ali Al-HassanPass 37
- Mihai Lixandrudefensiveinterventions 7
- Adrian SemperSV 7
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| SHA | FAT | |
|---|---|---|
| Fouls | 8 | 14 |
| Yellow Cards | 2 | 0 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 1 |
| Offsides | 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks | 7 | 8 |
| Saves | 2 | 7 |
| Possession | 58.8 | 41.2 |
| SHOTS | 25 | 16 |
| ON GOAL | 10 | 3 |
| On Target % | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Penalty Goals | 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Kicks Taken | 0 | 0 |
| Accurate Passes | 383 | 242 |
| Passes | 446 | 297 |
| Pass Completion % | 0.9 | 0.8 |
| Accurate Crosses | 0 | 0 |
| Crosses | 0 | 0 |
| Cross % | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Long Balls | 0 | 0 |
| Accurate Long Balls | 0 | 0 |
| Long Balls % | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Blocked Shots | 7 | 5 |
| Effective Tackles | 8 | 11 |
| Tackles | 13 | 17 |
| Tackle % | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Interceptions | 0 | 0 |
| Effective Clearances | 0 | 0 |
| Clearances | 22 | 19 |
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Al Shabab vs Al Fateh pick result · Oct 22, 2026
Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
More: Saudi Pro picks today · Graded record · Play of the Day