Sarmiento (Junín) at Gimnasia La Plata
Games & odds only · model picks aren't published for this league yet.
Projected SARM 1.19–1.59 GLP · most likely 1–1
The model
How this number was built
SARM 1.19–1.59 GLP · Medium confidence
Independent Poisson scorelines from shrunk attack/defense ratings, blended with the market.
- Attack / defenseGLP +0.3 off · SARM +0.4 off, shrunk 62%
- Home field+0.3 goals to GLP
- RecordGLP 6-4-3 · SARM 6-3-4
- Market priorBlended 64% toward GLP -155 / total 2.5
Season leaders
- Junior Marabelgoals 6
- Junior Marabelgoalsleaders 6
- Marcelo Torresgoals 6
- Marcelo Torresgoalsleaders 6
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| SARM | GLP | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal Difference | 3 | 1 |
| Total Goals | 22 | 19 |
| Assists | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Against | 19 | 18 |
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.
Sarmiento (J) vs Gimnasia LP prediction · Oct 23, 2026
The model projects Sarmiento (J) 1.2, Gimnasia LP 1.6. Model win probability: Gimnasia LP 47%, Sarmiento (J) 28%, draw 25%. Lines are DraftKings prices; picks lock at the start of the game and are graded off the official final.
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