NHLThu 6:30 PM CTLittle Caesars Arena
Philadelphia Flyers at Detroit Red Wings
10/15 - 7:30 PM EDT · Disney+
Computer pick · Total
Under 5.5
51%
PHI 2.09–3.41 DET
Philadelphia Flyers
0-5-3 · L8
10 PF · 31 PA
2.09
Projected
Detroit Red Wings
1-3-2 · L3
14 PF · 20 PA
3.41
PHI 22%Draw 15%DET 63%
Projected PHI 2.09–3.41 DET · most likely 2–3
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The model
How this number was built
PHI 2.09–3.41 DET · Medium confidence
Independent Poisson scorelines from shrunk attack/defense ratings, blended with the market.
- Attack / defenseDET -0.3 off · PHI -0.8 off, shrunk 33%
- Home field+0.2 goals to DET
- RecordDET 1-3-2 · PHI 0-5-3
- Market priorBlended 68% toward DET -142 / total 5.5
Season leaders
Christian Dvorakgoals 2
Trevor ZegrasAST 2- Christian DvorakPTS 3
Alex DeBrincatgoals 4- Alex DeBrincatAST 4
- Alex DeBrincatPTS 8
Team stats
Every official team number from this game. The better side is highlighted.
| PHI | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| GAA | 3.75 | 3.17 |
| SA/G | 34.6 | 27.3 |
| PCT | 80.6 | 66.7 |
| PPGA | 6 | 7 |
| SHGA | 0 | 0 |
| GF/G | 1.25 | 2.33 |
| SF/G | 20.8 | 31.8 |
| PPG | 2 | 4 |
| PCT | 8.3 | 20.0 |
| SHG | 0 | 0 |
| PIM | 83 | 62 |
Player props
The DraftKings line is the starting point. A prop moves off it only with a real player rate, and only at -120 or longer.
DraftKings hasn’t posted player props for this matchup yet.